TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof MOUZ, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked NRG32c12,148$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,216.633,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ69c10,066$6,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900.8850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed MOUZ60c8,912$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.4314763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed MOUZ61c8,115$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.0828960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed NRG39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,879.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed MOUZ64c7,801$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG41c7,600$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,483.9278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked NRG40c7,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50016245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ60c6,910$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.221,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed NRG36c6,411$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,102.944748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG38c5,152$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.951,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed MOUZ61c4,800$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.5564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed NRG38c4,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed NRG39c3,915$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.4115648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked NRG37c3,867$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.414353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NRG41c3,800$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.9860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed NRG41c3,000$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.5817045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ62c2,512$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.2316447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked NRG39c1,956$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.165567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed NRG42c1,712$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.7633452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked MOUZ59c1,700$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0035244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed NRG39c1,555$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.162,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed NRG38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NRG45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked MOUZ55c1,490$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.6634943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed MOUZ59c1,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82618254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed NRG36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8911435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG36c1,186$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.532,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ53c1,018$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed NRG36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6404542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked MOUZ63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.994454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed NRG47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9918846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ62c997.45$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.4275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed MOUZ59c922.69$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed NRG39c920$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.2331345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed NRG38c918.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9938848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed NRG53c784.29$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.759533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed NRG39c703.59$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked NRG37c691.89$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8910062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed MOUZ63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed MOUZ60c610.52$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3118261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed MOUZ59c603.03$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7912941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed NRG37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37849935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed MOUZ59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011742.7%50 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NRG42c583.33$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed NRG38c518.73$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.615251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed MOUZ59c511.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…8fabbacked MOUZ59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed MOUZ62c490$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.830155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed MOUZ59c483.05$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854346.5%20 W · 23 L-6.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed MOUZ63c448.08$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.291540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed MOUZ59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed NRG42c410.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3226743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed MOUZ58c405.17$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23544343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed MOUZ64c404.36$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7926549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ59c398.72$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed NRG35c378.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5450947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked MOUZ63c331.58$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.912950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed MOUZ62c328.77$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2527459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed NRG37c300$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18857641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18676748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked NRG37c288$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.444654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ16c270.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.332,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG31c255.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.231,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed MOUZ59c235.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3116347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked NRG37c231$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.538654.7%47 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed NRG37c221.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked MOUZ70c210.6$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14731451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed MOUZ65c196.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910450%52 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed MOUZ64c182.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11726564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd0…f4f0backed MOUZ58c181.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…ed19backed NRG35c172.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.327744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed MOUZ59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked MOUZ59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed NRG37c159$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed MOUZ65c154.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed MOUZ65c152.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.965944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed NRG38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed NRG39c148$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2827554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ64c145.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed MOUZ63c139.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8832138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ59c132.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed NRG38c127.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2651348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed NRG39c121.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.717454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed MOUZ62c119.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.397651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked NRG42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.051,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked NRG42c119$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0238051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed NRG38c117$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6894…1528backed MOUZ59c116.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.839450%47 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.71,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed NRG42c114.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2919939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed MOUZ62c109.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0922059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed NRG39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6136057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed MOUZ59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78fd…4b88backed NRG40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed MOUZ59c90.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5222650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed MOUZ59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.154652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed MOUZ59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.