CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bfe5d536093542dcbbd64f520618a388fa6db47f8f73d33313e3631282023d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 34c | 1,873$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,435$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…6fc2backed Over | 32c | 1,311$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 68c | 1,298$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 16c | 955.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 25c | 732.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 62c | 559.64$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 460.05$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Over | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 18c | 278.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 60c | 277.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 65c | 151.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 70c | 112.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 64.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 56c | 50.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 63c | 44.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…b3bfbacked Under | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 45c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…5531backed Under | 68c | 24.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 44c | 22.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Under | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.