TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa89b…87a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT11767.5%79 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.19
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$15.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$6.08
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.45
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$52.25
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.73
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$61.99
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$44.07
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.43
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$225.44
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$911.06
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$44.49
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$250.14
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.23
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.38
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$35.81
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.31
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$65.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.61
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$20.27
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$182.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.3%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.