TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$496,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$614,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa69d…509bbacked Team Falcons70c50,000$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed M8033c49,906$16,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,418.2181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed M8050c31,207$15,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,538.6912353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed M8044c13,686$5,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,960.3133343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked M8038c12,286$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.6259839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Team Falcons29c10,065$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,144.9510935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Team Falcons72c8,214$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.986464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons79c7,239$5,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.8728657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Team Falcons42c7,148$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed Team Falcons52c6,919$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.6914763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons62c6,630$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.332,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2509232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons57c4,948$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.53,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons54c4,536$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.584,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons61c4,017$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.271,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked M8019c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b9…bdf4backed Team Falcons52c3,656$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.236036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons75c3,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked M8038c3,234$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.787441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked M8049c3,233$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.0221251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1701,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons47c2,768$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.1448350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Falcons76c2,642$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.5833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed M8034c2,617$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.667245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons39c2,570$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.6917460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked M8040c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons66c2,488$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.836,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed M8042c2,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons59c2,392$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed M8021c2,181$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.922,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed M8070c2,109$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.28564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked M8043c2,093$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.985444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons64c2,050$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.871,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked M8024c2,010$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.46947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed M8063c2,000$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.8245058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed M8058c1,883$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.9538868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons60c1,789$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.6845646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…4b3ebacked M808c1,758$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.642227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons62c1,750$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed M8024c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Team Falcons54c1,400$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Falcons73c1,319$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3547850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed M8049c1,232$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed M8045c1,189$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2312552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed M8035c1,111$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.951942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Falcons73c1,078$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7455843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons65c1,029$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked M8024c1,020$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7527751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons62c1,012$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6832548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked M8020c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53014257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Team Falcons68c983.23$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2346165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons60c971.69$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6923354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…fb24backed Team Falcons63c930.02$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed M8032c900$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked M8050c849.99$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons38c845$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.57243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked M8022c828.49$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2140140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked M8053c824.43$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4371,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Falcons52c801.06$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0612871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8032c785$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked M8027c784.07$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3528443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed M8021c779.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7262350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1588…eed3backed M8068c719.25$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.931450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked M8055c716.85$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.142,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed M8050c698.96$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6129052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked M8064c635$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2538051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed M8049c605.53$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29818061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed M8025c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed M8061c599.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36632346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Team Falcons64c595.89$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.936355.6%35 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons61c591.69$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.14,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a2…e30dbacked M8035c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked M8025c564.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.492,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Team Falcons42c542.29$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1819747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked M8041c530.69$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.64,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed M8019c530$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.719238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Team Falcons30c519.35$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3512027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Team Falcons58c516.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed M8023c513.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.532218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Team Falcons57c503$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.818338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed M8033c501.69$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.741275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+65.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed M8043c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed M8032c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed M8065c496.58$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.42,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed Team Falcons77c493.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5118963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed M8042c488.34$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0114839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked M8071c475.27$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4441069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Team Falcons67c473.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5416155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Falcons67c460.79$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.454660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Team Falcons61c459.46$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9967372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Falcons67c450.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.844645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed M8071c449.08$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.56744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Team Falcons51c443.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.058664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M8032c439.81$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.045,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed M8026c433$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.516741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed M8037c420$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Team Falcons66c417.46$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2711265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.