TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8038c22,421$8,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,568.4475652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons62c11,640$7,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.0228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons62c10,000$6,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.4850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Team Falcons29c4,580$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed M8039c3,201$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.3566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons60c1,647$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8727658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed M8040c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed M8039c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.8120249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons60c1,330$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.3517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons61c1,311$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4817554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b9…bdf4backed Team Falcons61c1,311$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.486036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed M8071c1,285$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.1325747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed M8071c1,161$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82441847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8034c1,123$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8040c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons47c857.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.2736450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32031345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons62c767.74$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7434146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed M8040c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Team Falcons66c608$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.834742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons60c599.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked M8039c583.92$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.731,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19531253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons67c449.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed Team Falcons54c438.93$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20114763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked M8048c390.47$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9413351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed M8071c352.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.965438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed M8039c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Team Falcons60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3348562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Team Falcons60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3326251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked M8033c330.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.081,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed M8071c303.38$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.410850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked M8046c291.3$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13412343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Team Falcons37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2714939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed M8071c253.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed M8040c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed M8071c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Team Falcons60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Team Falcons59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3915134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed M8041c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.938052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked M8039c188.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3519030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Team Falcons57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Team Falcons60c166.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.781450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Team Falcons60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6723757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons62c162$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5627744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Team Falcons26c161.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5434036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Team Falcons60c161.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5322740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc462…78bcbacked Team Falcons48c144.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed M8071c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed M8071c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012544.8%56 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8052c134.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed M8054c119.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.012,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked M8040c111.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4427848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x621a…3e19backed Team Falcons47c106.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.516659.1%39 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Team Falcons49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Team Falcons60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked Team Falcons61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed M8039c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Team Falcons47c98.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7219935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Team Falcons59c98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0681246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d8…e2e8backed Team Falcons61c97.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.034755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked M8053c95.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Team Falcons61c93.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3514851.4%76 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons47c90.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.512,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed M8040c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.674054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Team Falcons60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3318347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dd…f376backed Team Falcons61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd8…1faabacked M8041c72.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Falcons39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.133156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed M8040c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed M8035c61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3938848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d2…386fbacked Team Falcons60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed M8039c48.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed M8041c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed M8066c47.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1226344.1%116 W · 147 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed M8044c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4542057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6018…f21bbacked Team Falcons61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked M8044c36.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.261,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Team Falcons53c36.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.129959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed M8040c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66055%33 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Team Falcons61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7932357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Team Falcons61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.485655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked Team Falcons62c31.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.062755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…c21fbacked Team Falcons65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.778445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Team Falcons65c30.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7320656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed M8040c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked M8071c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Team Falcons60c27.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1316347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d9…25cbbacked Team Falcons62c24.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.223268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Team Falcons62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1916457.9%95 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Team Falcons66c23.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons51c22.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.931,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.