La Liga · resolved market
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9aff987172a477f3241549bf162e1221c0679b9d07d90b9b42287645ea32f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 62c | 4,218$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 63c | 2,858$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 37c | 2,694$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…d3f7backed Yes | 38c | 1,288$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 65c | 1,233$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.43 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 873.85$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 38c | 525.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed Yes | 38c | 440.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…35f6backed No | 64c | 432$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 38c | 377.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 35c | 366.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Yes | 39c | 284.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 54c | 191.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 46c | 177.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 35c | 142.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…be0dbacked Yes | 34c | 131.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Yes | 39c | 126.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 67c | 96.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…2133backed Yes | 35c | 83.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e18…7bb9backed Yes | 36c | 82.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed No | 70c | 71.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 35c | 36.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 67c | 25.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 68c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b143backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Dani Olmo: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Fermín Lopez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ferran Torres: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Marcus Rashford: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Robert Lewandowski: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.