Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf40e8cdeddd6b7a560e6aae93779f1f208a9d0aca76bde070b814b015c427fe

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,351,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,115,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	75,293$10,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,546.62	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	61,110$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	55c	20,544$11,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,144.56	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	17c	15,792$2,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,641.04	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	42c	14,609$6,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,188.36	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	38c	13,683$5,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,226.89	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	19c	13,521$2,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,522.75	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	11c	11,857$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.18	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	22c	11,097$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.64	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	20c	10,503$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052.03	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	68c	10,441$7,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,344.23	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	24c	10,354$2,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,446.1	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	10,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	16c	7,944$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.61	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	29c	7,896$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,327.66	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	31c	7,836$2,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,425	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	31c	7,252$2,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,255.88	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	33c	6,735$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	31c	6,471$2,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.31	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	63c	6,422$4,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,045.57	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	29c	6,174$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	21c	5,869$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.58	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	19c	5,779$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.87	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	35c	5,709$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.44	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	24c	5,617$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	9c	5,548$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd813…5abbbacked No	68c	5,400$3,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,738.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	57c	5,375$3,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,331.5	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	5,117$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.04	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	43c	5,101$2,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.2	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	38c	5,097$1,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,956.61	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	5,005$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.97	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	45c	5,000$2,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,258.46	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked Yes	16c	4,841$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.25	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	10c	4,770$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.72	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	66c	4,767$3,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,623.41	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e1d…be1abacked No	66c	4,599$3,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,563.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	60c	4,596$2,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.68	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	23c	4,550$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.57	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	4,500$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.45	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x290e…edb1backed No	66c	4,306$2,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,472.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+52%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	34c	4,147$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.67	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f73…b6f9backed No	66c	4,103$2,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.39	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	35c	4,081$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.99	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c2…f294backed No	59c	3,870$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c45…4503backed Yes	13c	3,766$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.28	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	23cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	36c	3,629$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.71	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed No	60c	3,583$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.1	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	47c	3,500$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.61	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	21c	3,424$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.8	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6566…0ec4backed No	56c	3,420$1,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes	39c	3,414$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.78	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff3…a472backed No	68c	3,400$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	34c	3,392$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.61	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	55c	3,327$1,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,834.15	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	76c	3,302$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.07	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4193…7a48backed Yes	27c	3,298$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	12c	3,295$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.12	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	8c	3,211$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.21	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	5c	3,182$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.43	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	54c	3,180$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.06	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	49c	3,083$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	56c	3,000$1,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,687.99	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	36c	2,997$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.16	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	42c	2,940$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.92	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	73c	2,936$2,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.82	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	8c	2,811$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.13	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	23c	2,807$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.37	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa630…49e8backed No	47c	2,800$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	2,777$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.63	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Yes	34c	2,723$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.86	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	11c	2,678$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.94	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	26c	2,663$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.37	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	14c	2,612$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.59	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…e24fbacked Yes	13c	2,607$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.79	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed No	64c	2,546$1,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.84	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	10c	2,495$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.89	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	46c	2,484$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.09	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	32c	2,467$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.85	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked Yes	53c	2,464$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.85	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	52c	2,436$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.42	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	2,417$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.76	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	65c	2,400$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	19c	2,349$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.41	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a03…d5cebacked No	46c	2,315$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.48	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	53c	2,280$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.6	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	79c	2,210$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.57	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	18c	2,042$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.51	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	2,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes	9c	2,000$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.12	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	17c	1,985$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47b…9843backed Yes	29c	1,955$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.23	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98fc…c478backed Yes	23c	1,953$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.42	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	39c	1,943$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.89	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b4…cf0bbacked Yes	36c	1,930$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…2d8abacked No	54c	1,920$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event