Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c1b3d6d8ea633f313d570a730c5d8012d38c8cce47ba7c2d755ececb7201ae4

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $502,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $246,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	36,923$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.32	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	33,333$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	24,504$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.95	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	24,353$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e1…90efbacked Yes	0c	20,870$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	18,025$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.82	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	12,942$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.61	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	10,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2094…16d0backed Yes	0c	8,990$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	8,401$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.75	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	6,300$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	5,933$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.15	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	4,027$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	4,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	3,854$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.96	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	3c	3,616$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.11	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	3c	3,383$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.07	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	3,315$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	3,287$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.51	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	3,235$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.88	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,203$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.29	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	3,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	9c	2,815$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.44	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	2,682$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	0c	2,618$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	1c	2,545$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	2,523$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.85	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa5…e581backed Yes	2c	2,470$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.52	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	5c	2,377$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.3	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	0c	2,358$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,183$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	2,100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	3c	2,007$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	1,950$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.85	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed Yes	2c	1,800$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	1,753$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	1,753$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.66	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	2c	1,699$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88fe…a1d4backed Yes	2c	1,688$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d1a…837ebacked Yes	3c	1,665$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	4c	1,606$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.36	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,572$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f796backed Yes	4c	1,454$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	1c	1,445$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a93…c89abacked Yes	4c	1,404$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	5c	1,365$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.68	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c1…194bbacked Yes	2c	1,323$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc366…73cebacked Yes	2c	1,281$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	1,252$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.24	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	1,224$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,195$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.41	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	6c	1,136$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.83	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	7c	1,032$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.97	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca2…20e6backed Yes	4c	1,018$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.39	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,010$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	6c	1,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	6c	1,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	2c	999.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	4c	993.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864d…64afbacked Yes	5c	990.38$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	982.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…af19backed Yes	1c	899$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd551…d570backed Yes	1c	880$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	864.85$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.42	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes	4c	797.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0923…88c7backed Yes	2c	791.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46bc…e64dbacked Yes	3c	720.52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…b45ebacked Yes	5c	670$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39f8…3f0ebacked Yes	3c	625$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x181e…ace0backed Yes	8c	604.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd6…3df6backed Yes	4c	558.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	3c	551.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Yes	5c	522.32$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	92	32.6%30 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf2…73adbacked Yes	5c	521.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	2c	517.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd9…86cabacked Yes	2c	508.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea3…36d2backed Yes	4c	506.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes	9c	506$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	175	16.6%29 W · 146 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8c…80d0backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	495.64$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	4c	491.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	4c	478.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9f…461ebacked Yes	4c	457.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	+9.6wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	6c	436.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	430.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ec…0708backed Yes	6c	426.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	4c	422.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bb…0ef8backed Yes	7c	416.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	3c	401.32$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	392.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c9…dfbfbacked Yes	7c	382.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.11	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	381.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8618…4b99backed Yes	3c	365.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe197…5667backed Yes	6c	360.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	4c	336$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event