Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43884bc9fc1e1727d0c9b468bcacab5126ffc792c6e3a3db6474a77bcdb4eeef

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,840,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,115,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,840,844 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x274c…4824backed Yes	0c	110,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	92,366$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.8	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	2c	46,890$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.23	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	38,888$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	34,054$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.45	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	30,334$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.39	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	0c	26,885$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.92	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	26,869$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.87	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	1c	25,152$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.3	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	22,440$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.38	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e99…ead5backed Yes	0c	17,394$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	16,313$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.04	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f1…20cdbacked Yes	0c	15,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	14,688$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5084…fb85backed Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	10	0%0 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86b6…34edbacked Yes	1c	13,451$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	2c	13,334$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.68	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	13,149$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.76	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	12,592$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.21	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes	0c	12,217$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	47	0%0 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc0…661bbacked Yes	0c	12,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	11,902$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.22	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	4c	11,160$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.7	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	10,717$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.04	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	9,069$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.53	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	8,838$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	2c	8,289$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.03	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	8,243$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.04	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	4c	8,201$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.04	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	1c	7,892$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	0c	7,882$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	7,279$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.45	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	7,228$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.8	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	1c	7,145$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.04	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	0c	7,131$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	6c	6,812$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.45	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	6,744$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.85	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	6,535$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.63	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a9…3d13backed Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	6,000$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.1	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	5,754$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	3c	5,719$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.75	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	6c	5,391$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.02	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	5,235$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.72	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c47…bc7bbacked Yes	0c	5,170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b0…4a62backed Yes	0c	5,094$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	5,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe435…5211backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…2f65backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	1c	4,750$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	1c	4,750$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.77	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	4,586$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.7	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	4,569$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.52	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	1c	4,477$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0aea…8951backed Yes	13c	4,131$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.26	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	4,100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x193b…f82fbacked Yes	1c	4,053$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca5…e859backed Yes	1c	3,947$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa51a…91dabacked Yes	1c	3,676$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	3,551$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.58	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	3,493$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.33	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Yes	3c	3,418$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	6c	3,190$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.55	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	8c	3,165$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.34	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	3,093$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.84	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	0c	3,067$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1c1…f571backed Yes	0c	3,037$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf670…3cb8backed Yes	3c	3,001$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.03	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	3c	3,000$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	3,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	2,939$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad67…d6e0backed Yes	3c	2,910$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.09	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	1c	2,831$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	3c	2,827$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	6c	2,818$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	2,712$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.13	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	7c	2,611$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.46	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes	2c	2,600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	6c	2,591$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.61	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,579$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.41	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Yes	1c	2,436$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	1c	2,363$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	0c	2,359$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	2,321$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.09	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	1c	2,317$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	2c	2,316$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	11c	2,306$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.31	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ad…32e4backed Yes	1c	2,261$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	132	29.5%39 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	4c	2,257$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.7	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4986…6996backed Yes	1c	2,183$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.95	141	24.1%34 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	2,179$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.79	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Yes	1c	2,142$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	7c	2,140$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.8	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	2,138$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.55	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	2,118$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.47	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a03…d5cebacked Yes	1c	2,046$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event