Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e26ffd98aca571158a91710aaa0fae53b1c58c48374a0461f0ff332e220a21e

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,165,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $502,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,165,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	82,486$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.91	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	30,866$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	28,810$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.72	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	0c	24,390$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.06	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	22,531$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.43	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	19,263$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.51	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	19,097$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.69	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	18,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	16,777$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.03	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	16,540$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	0c	13,836$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.51	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	3c	13,059$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.07	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	12,345$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	3c	11,869$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.5	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	10,918$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	10,628$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	10,116$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	9,738$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	1c	9,643$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.13	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	3c	8,573$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.83	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f9…e4f9backed Yes	0c	7,972$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	7,733$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.1	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	7,378$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.55	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	1c	7,167$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	1c	7,065$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.62	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	7,000$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.9	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	6,890$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	0c	5,840$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	5,706$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.93	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	5,500$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.44	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	5,415$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.82	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	3c	5,204$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.47	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,067$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.69	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	5,060$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	5,057$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.08	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	1c	4,642$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	4,133$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…e3f8backed Yes	1c	4,099$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	4,081$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.71	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,050$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.37	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,003$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.97	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	1c	4,002$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…ac28backed Yes	0c	3,969$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	3,963$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.09	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	2c	3,719$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	4c	3,706$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.13	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	3,682$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.32	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	3,600$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	3,539$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.98	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2807…ce58backed Yes	1c	3,491$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189a…094bbacked Yes	2c	3,294$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.32	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	3,245$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.14	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	3,200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	4c	3,182$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.65	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	2,599$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	2,180$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	1c	2,169$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,159$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.77	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	2c	2,133$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.94	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	2c	2,130$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	2,060$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	4c	2,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	2,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	3c	1,919$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.86	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca5…e859backed Yes	1c	1,875$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,806$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.06	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes	1c	1,792$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc879…c986backed Yes	1c	1,705$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	1,701$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.52	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	5c	1,616$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	1,595$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	1,582$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.35	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	5c	1,575$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.74	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes	7c	1,539$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.41	193	17.6%34 W · 159 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d32…d12bbacked Yes	10c	1,522$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	1,500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,447$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	2c	1,393$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,358$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	4c	1,344$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	4c	1,218$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	1c	1,202$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	1c	1,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	1,102$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba7c…2a2abacked Yes	1c	1,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event