Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x623ea63cbf98fd31a103dfeb1bc5e99f7ff9fa90826ff58f506b430da85c07d6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,407,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,300,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,407,483 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	57c	46,464$26,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,008.27	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	45c	31,950$14,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,272.11	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	29c	29,791$8,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,120.77	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	52c	28,642$14,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,665.81	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	27c	26,537$7,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,305.6	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	61c	25,144$15,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,813.49	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	16c	15,458$2,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,967.01	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	30c	13,620$4,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,520.8	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	13,160$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,219.41	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	41c	10,586$4,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,209.16	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	37c	10,491$3,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,593.65	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a5…fedfbacked No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…e270backed Yes	11c	9,217$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,203.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	8cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	15c	8,847$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,516.08	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	12c	8,525$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,478.56	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	38c	8,266$3,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,135.04	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	47c	8,212$3,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,325.12	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	28c	8,133$2,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,820.46	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	30c	8,000$2,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,564.95	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	69c	7,212$4,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,961.94	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked Yes	52c	7,151$3,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,416.73	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	7,113$1,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,471.72	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	33c	7,095$2,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,784.71	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed No	48c	6,649$3,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180.84	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	27c	6,322$1,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,610.67	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	65c	6,063$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,945.75	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	27c	5,992$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,391.62	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	24c	5,730$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,354.38	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	50c	5,626$2,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,813.68	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	52c	5,557$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,676.79	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	10c	4,830$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,330.33	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	38c	4,811$1,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,006.04	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	18c	4,810$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,951.57	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fe…2318backed No	76c	4,755$3,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,613.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	16c	4,731$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.23	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	21c	4,731$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,713.96	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	20c	4,570$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.46	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	4,511$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,983.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b72…b53cbacked Yes	33c	4,470$1,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,983.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+200.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	55c	4,459$2,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,007.92	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	18c	4,152$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,421.72	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	32c	4,133$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,802.57	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…2026backed Yes	65c	4,108$2,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd510…d56dbacked Yes	74c	4,054$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.09	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	30c	4,022$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,825.22	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	15c	4,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.99	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	4,000$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,609.31	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	17c	3,851$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,198.83	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	23c	3,809$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,931.39	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	44c	3,783$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.44	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	31c	3,708$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,551	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	39c	3,706$1,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250.48	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	15c	3,700$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,144.97	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes	61c	3,675$2,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	36c	3,629$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,323.48	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	33c	3,612$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,434.02	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	35c	3,450$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.86	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	3,335$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,832.74	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.09	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes	74c	3,315$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.19	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	74c	3,293$2,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,429.06	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…7a48backed Yes	32c	3,272$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,225.53	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c89…1ebbbacked No	76c	3,263$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,480	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	72c	3,256$2,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.19	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4782…f65cbacked No	79c	3,160$2,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	38c	3,099$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.86	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb9…a2b2backed Yes	21c	3,092$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,441.36	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	31c	3,030$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,104.04	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f73…b6f9backed Yes	32c	2,980$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,032.62	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	36c	2,870$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,844.66	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	71c	2,846$2,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.01	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed Yes	14c	2,844$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,446.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+138.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	59c	2,823$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.79	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	31c	2,800$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,943	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	20c	2,771$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,207.82	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	42c	2,579$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,491.48	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	38c	2,454$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,528.81	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	33c	2,428$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.06	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Yes	56c	2,400$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.52	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7519…b0c9backed Yes	14c	2,346$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,025.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.22per pick	12cpaid	+144.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	24c	2,340$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,784.37	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	64c	2,325$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.39	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	48c	2,243$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.82	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…eac8backed No	66c	2,191$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.89	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	21c	2,174$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.91	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8c…dbefbacked Yes	50c	2,162$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.53	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	2,147$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,924.69	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	29c	2,130$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.33	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	25c	2,112$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,591.67	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	63c	2,108$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.57	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	25c	2,107$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.83	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Yes	39c	2,100$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.71	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	31c	2,078$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,426.22	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	36c	2,075$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.77	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	55c	2,059$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,142.55	287	23.7%68 W · 219 L	-46.5wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	44c	2,033$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.25	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	12c	2,000$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.96	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	13c	1,992$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,732.95	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb51…1135backed Yes	29c	1,987$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.3	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event