Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ead65b3de6b64407723af4337885c3e89f70c8651a47308eb88edd9022dbd7d

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,449,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $918,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,449,534 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 872 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	101,916$4,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,432.62	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	49,999$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	11c	34,756$3,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,777.5	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f9…e4f9backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	26,207$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.75	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	22,318$2,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,301.59	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	21,448$3,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,523.29	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	8c	19,333$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.72	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	6c	11,146$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	22c	10,689$2,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,403.51	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,513$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	10,041$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.91	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	10,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	8,725$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.75	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb51…1135backed Yes	6c	8,540$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.28	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	74c	8,116$5,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,126.38	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	12c	7,566$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.86	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	7c	7,264$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.08	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	20c	7,188$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.01	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	6,782$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.42	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	11c	6,584$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Yes	23c	6,509$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	19c	6,273$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.39	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	6,039$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.45	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	6,028$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	6,000$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.5	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd5…1773backed No	77c	6,000$4,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	9c	5,897$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.09	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	5,855$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.09	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	5,748$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.84	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	10c	5,595$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.28	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,520$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	15c	5,470$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.29	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	13c	5,462$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.37	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	5,418$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.07	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	25c	4,800$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	2c	4,629$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.33	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	12c	4,572$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.28	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	4,452$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.12	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04a…6237backed No	64c	4,418$2,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,581.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes	3c	4,369$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.71	130	31.5%41 W · 89 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	13c	4,367$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	9c	4,301$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.81	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	4,229$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.46	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	12c	4,220$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.37	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	9c	4,185$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	7c	4,028$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.85	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	7c	3,978$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.67	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	3,822$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.89	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	3,732$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.25	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	8c	3,672$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.11	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…5738backed No	74c	3,600$2,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	6c	3,595$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.3	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	23c	3,539$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc44…c371backed No	62c	3,398$2,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	3,284$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.05	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	3,272$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Yes	9c	3,215$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	8c	3,198$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.86	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	2c	3,097$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.02	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	19c	3,048$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.56	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	3,008$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.42	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	6c	3,003$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.49	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	18c	3,000$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.16	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	4c	3,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	13c	2,984$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.6	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	12c	2,978$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	15c	2,969$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.38	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	20c	2,964$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.28	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60b0…4a62backed Yes	0c	2,942$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	11c	2,941$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.2	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca5…e859backed Yes	9c	2,835$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.08	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed No	66c	2,822$1,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.86	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	2,794$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.33	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	2,788$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	2,785$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.86	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	12c	2,761$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.6	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	7c	2,750$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.95	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	2,644$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.18	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	3c	2,635$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	24c	2,589$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.86	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	2c	2,505$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b7…227bbacked Yes	19c	2,496$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.04	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	4c	2,489$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	2,448$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	23c	2,413$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.55	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc8…4676backed Yes	25c	2,366$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.6	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…73c2backed Yes	15c	2,349$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.85	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8c…dbefbacked Yes	26c	2,323$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.64	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	11c	2,236$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.21	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	2,153$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	2c	2,150$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	8c	2,146$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.01	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	79c	2,050$1,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.9	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189a…094bbacked Yes	2c	2,048$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	15c	2,030$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.53	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	8c	2,008$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.99	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…0a92backed Yes	15c	2,005$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event