Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fbd6c4a4f3b5b22f31cb87540b084103fc99c64db19d1df31c9e0ad74ec0ee

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,385,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $722,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,385,742 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	2c	125,746$3,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,011.86	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	48,295$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.82	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	33,327$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.33	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	1c	30,715$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.43	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	29,550$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.12	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	29,120$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.63	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb6…008fbacked Yes	0c	24,255$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	20,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	9c	19,738$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,714.82	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	14,769$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.15	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	13,665$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.85	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	13,102$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.9	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	12,816$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.41	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	1c	12,796$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.11	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	11,951$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.62	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	1c	11,950$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.92	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	11,518$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.5	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	10,900$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.97	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	2c	10,489$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.4	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	4c	10,398$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.15	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	9,878$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.59	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	9,452$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	8,999$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	2c	8,820$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.17	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	8,741$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.6	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	5c	8,637$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.67	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	8,509$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.75	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	7,984$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.46	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	7,825$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.5	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	7,425$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	4c	7,201$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.03	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	7,129$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	6,500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.5	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	8c	6,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,550$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	8c	5,485$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.87	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	5,440$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	10c	5,398$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.99	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	4c	5,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	5,118$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.08	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes	3c	5,098$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.91	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	5,012$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.96	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	8c	5,000$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.79	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	5c	4,825$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.96	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	4,393$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.88	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	2c	4,127$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	4c	4,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	0c	4,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	4,000$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	8c	3,996$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.43	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	3,893$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.56	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	2c	3,606$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.01	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	3,574$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.33	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	3,560$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.46	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	3,500$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.38	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes	9c	3,456$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.04	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	6c	3,333$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986e…88d7backed Yes	1c	3,300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	1c	3,183$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	7c	3,167$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0826…8738backed Yes	1c	3,100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	3,088$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	3,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.57	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	1c	2,992$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.61	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	4c	2,960$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.63	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	8c	2,934$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.4	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	7c	2,892$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.43	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	5c	2,854$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.17	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	2,831$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.57	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	7c	2,814$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.47	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes	6c	2,800$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	8c	2,600$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	2,558$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	2,478$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…e3f8backed Yes	3c	2,462$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	2,400$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.87	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc879…c986backed Yes	1c	2,313$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	1c	2,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	5c	2,180$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f9…e4f9backed Yes	1c	2,146$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	6c	2,130$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.77	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	14c	2,088$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.61	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…dd2abacked Yes	1c	2,065$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	1c	2,059$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	11c	2,053$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.81	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	2,039$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.18	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	6c	2,000$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	2,000$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	1,989$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	6c	1,955$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.52	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	1c	1,930$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6e…7d37backed Yes	12c	1,890$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.63	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	3c	1,800$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,790$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.57	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,784$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.54	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event