Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc127e8d54f4eb2a82307c82dcd8d6c461762f3636bf016065f30587dc84dac5b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $931,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $392,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	38,167$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	28,789$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.29	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	23,035$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.03	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	0c	20,934$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.17	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	18,030$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	15,260$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes	0c	15,081$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	47	0%0 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	0c	13,939$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	13,855$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	13,131$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	0c	11,782$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	10,333$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.35	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f9…e4f9backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	9,081$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	7,872$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.97	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	0c	7,392$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	0c	7,191$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	1c	7,100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.8	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	6,333$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.76	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	0c	5,462$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	0c	5,083$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,050$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	5,000$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	0c	4,762$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	1c	4,637$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	4,533$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.83	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,499$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.93	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	4,060$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.17	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,019$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.55	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	3,573$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.61	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	3,277$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.85	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	3,268$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.92	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	1c	3,016$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	2,966$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.37	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Yes	1c	2,943$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,764$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	2,556$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.06	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	1c	2,501$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.47	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	2,431$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	2c	2,251$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	2,074$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,065$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	1,989$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,965$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	1,733$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,580$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,552$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,521$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.58	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	3c	1,389$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189a…094bbacked Yes	3c	1,346$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	1c	1,298$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	1,254$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.85	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	1,162$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	2c	1,127$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	2c	1,121$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.02	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	7c	999.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	5c	934.43$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	899.97$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	2c	887.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	3c	871.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	2c	835$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	5c	809.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.66	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	2c	800.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes	4c	799.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	193	17.6%34 W · 159 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	2c	779.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	6c	778.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.74	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	2c	766.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	3c	725.67$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc233…c24cbacked Yes	12c	656.87$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	5c	649.76$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	3c	641.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Yes	9c	634.2$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d32…d12bbacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c0…6761backed Yes	5c	613$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	8cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f7…bafbbacked Yes	3c	552.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	506.58$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.86	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe901…2b01backed Yes	7c	500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	70	12.9%9 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	6c	499.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	9c	499.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d92…4eb8backed Yes	3c	468.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	2c	458$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event