TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Liquid, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid28c11,409$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.7967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis79c10,000$7,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.0150254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.9637157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Astralis75c9,010$6,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Liquid27c6,811$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.0385358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Astralis73c6,385$4,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.9213850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Astralis65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis76c5,292$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.192,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid33c5,259$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.715,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Astralis71c5,004$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.3512752%66 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid17c4,948$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8651,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Liquid35c4,806$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.6165351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Astralis71c4,664$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.2612453.2%66 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Liquid25c4,301$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.531,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Liquid8c4,033$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.297450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Liquid19c3,903$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.431,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Astralis71c3,885$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid34c3,848$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.3272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Liquid11c3,621$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5629127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis74c3,386$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.621,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Liquid33c3,284$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.3313345.1%60 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid13c3,004$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6141340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Astralis66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.996147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Liquid34c2,978$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Liquid28c2,930$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.4127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Liquid35c2,840$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.1116447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Astralis65c2,792$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.263250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis64c2,623$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.1836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid32c2,552$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.6678939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Liquid27c2,360$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.25156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Astralis68c2,168$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Liquid31c2,155$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0116245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid35c2,050$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.491,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis73c2,016$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4144848.4%217 W · 231 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid32c1,997$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.8960540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Liquid32c1,914$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed Astralis73c1,824$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.461050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid24c1,766$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.032,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Astralis72c1,738$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4945455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Astralis65c1,695$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.3710550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed Liquid5c1,592$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.616744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Liquid32c1,531$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9926743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Liquid29c1,500$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4516240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48aa…14febacked Astralis71c1,388$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.43246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Liquid26c1,350$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Liquid35c1,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Liquid27c1,300$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Liquid11c1,178$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5732832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Astralis66c1,139$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.222645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Liquid27c1,133$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Astralis67c1,119$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.429851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid25c1,091$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.181,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Liquid33c1,080$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.8315740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4324…6fabbacked Astralis66c1,074$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.02540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Liquid25c1,063$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3616920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Astralis65c1,062$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7714942.3%63 W · 86 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid28c1,022$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.181,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4934156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Liquid26c1,010$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Liquid31c1,003$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9421644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Astralis71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Liquid25c997.26$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4217431%54 W · 120 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Liquid32c987$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7140140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bb…cc19backed Liquid5c905.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Liquid28c880.48$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1148319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Liquid28c803.57$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27261834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid32c799.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25677247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Liquid9c787.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.391,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Liquid35c777$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd69…c1a9backed Astralis65c769.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Liquid21c747.07$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.372,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b6…d248backed Astralis67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis67c741.77$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.787,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Liquid32c718.75$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Liquid34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2385444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Liquid36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Liquid27c650$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid20c645.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.11,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis77c630.44$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.882,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Liquid7c629.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1839342.5%167 W · 226 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Astralis65c625.3$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Astralis68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c0…ae83backed Astralis67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.011163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Astralis71c595.46$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.681,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Astralis66c589.4$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.713458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Astralis69c567.63$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4926344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Liquid33c566.88$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.399153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Liquid28c562.86$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.665254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Liquid27c555.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017454%94 W · 80 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Liquid30c547.34$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8314040%56 W · 84 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa316…3656backed Liquid33c536.36$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Liquid26c514.08$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6610837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Astralis66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Astralis70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Astralis66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17025070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Liquid10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.311,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.