CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99289a62078f0976dca5adcf0f50b47fd753212a93941d730e61e94a955f85fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Liquid, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 77c | 30,675$23,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,203.82 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis | 73c | 27,762$20,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,528.55 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid | 21c | 13,063$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.66 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Liquid | 28c | 11,110$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.25 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 31c | 9,531$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.76 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Liquid | 32c | 7,583$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.31 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Liquid | 23c | 7,147$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid | 32c | 5,775$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.92 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Liquid | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Liquid | 29c | 3,625$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.25 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 27c | 3,523$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Liquid | 26c | 3,351$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Liquid | 29c | 3,152$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.05 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…7ebfbacked Liquid | 23c | 2,706$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Liquid | 26c | 1,770$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.81 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid | 33c | 1,609$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.32 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Liquid | 37c | 1,564$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 20c | 1,503$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Liquid | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 74c | 1,470$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.85 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Liquid | 21c | 1,466$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.08 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Liquid | 33c | 1,457$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liquid | 35c | 1,420$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…e5d6backed Astralis | 71c | 1,394$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Liquid | 17c | 1,357$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 75c | 1,246$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 31c | 1,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Astralis | 70c | 1,165$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Astralis | 67c | 1,143$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Astralis | 67c | 1,135$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…8dd6backed Astralis | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Liquid | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.65 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 71c | 939.48$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.08 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Astralis | 73c | 933.12$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.55 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Astralis | 67c | 873.62$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Liquid | 20c | 842.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Astralis | 64c | 800.56$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.2 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Astralis | 67c | 800$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid | 25c | 788.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Astralis | 73c | 685.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.26 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Astralis | 66c | 682.75$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Liquid | 44c | 682.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Liquid | 26c | 678.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Liquid | 27c | 631.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid | 17c | 622.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Liquid | 17c | 615.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 73c | 600$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Astralis | 75c | 549.98$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 27c | 543.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Astralis | 67c | 530.5$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Liquid | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Liquid | 34c | 481.14$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Liquid | 17c | 461.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Astralis | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astralis | 63c | 402.5$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Liquid | 25c | 401.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Liquid | 26c | 381.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Liquid | 17c | 352.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…7115backed Liquid | 26c | 344.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 73c | 319$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Liquid | 18c | 309.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 34c | 306$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Astralis | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Astralis | 71c | 289.39$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 73c | 289$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Liquid | 20c | 276.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked Astralis | 72c | 273.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Liquid | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…a114backed Astralis | 80c | 256.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Astralis | 73c | 256.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Liquid | 27c | 242$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Liquid | 22c | 240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Liquid | 13c | 238.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Liquid | 22c | 236.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Astralis | 72c | 224.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Liquid | 19c | 224.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Astralis | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Astralis | 79c | 189.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid | 25c | 189$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Astralis | 76c | 172.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…4ec3backed Astralis | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Astralis | 73c | 150.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Astralis | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Astralis | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Liquid | 35c | 135.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liquid | 27c | 135.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Liquid | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Astralis | 78c | 122.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Astralis | 71c | 121.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Liquid | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Liquid | 21c | 119.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked Astralis | 60c | 117.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed Astralis | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Astralis | 62c | 103.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Astralis | 77c | 102.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Liquid | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Liquid | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Astralis | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Astralis | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.