TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc368…e5d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$117.87
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$404.2
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.47
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.2
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$26.52
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$45.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$6.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+76.6%+$7.73
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.23
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dplus vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.