TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,530 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked NRG23c17,000$3,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.13,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed NRG22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e2…9a09backed Team Falcons79c9,562$7,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.462060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed NRG21c8,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78521528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons74c7,148$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.72,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons78c6,313$4,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.591,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Falcons75c6,223$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.8133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons78c5,624$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG22c5,119$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.877,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG21c4,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG20c4,356$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Team Falcons79c4,150$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.525251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons78c3,352$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3521939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG24c3,101$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.211,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons76c3,080$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.3339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed NRG22c3,055$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.984242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG18c3,023$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.482,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed NRG23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons79c2,765$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.181,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Falcons78c2,753$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.5610251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Falcons79c2,601$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.143056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons78c2,585$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.351,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed NRG12c2,434$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0824935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG9c2,322$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.522,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed NRG25c2,180$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.588938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked NRG35c2,003$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG23c1,911$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.584,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons72c1,814$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9226549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NRG22c1,750$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.453,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG27c1,750$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.4961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG22c1,648$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.326,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons78c1,637$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.1444657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG22c1,520$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.051,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG24c1,495$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.762,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed NRG25c1,385$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7718536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons67c1,334$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.362,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons77c1,323$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons76c1,246$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7628443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons78c1,221$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5215970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed NRG23c1,199$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG22c1,049$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.711,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG22c1,021$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.171,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Team Falcons80c1,005$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0834156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked NRG20c999.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons76c960.03$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked NRG29c911.62$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26710250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…1b12backed NRG34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons74c801.31$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6846143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked NRG27c792.16$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG23c789.62$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.042,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NRG11c770.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.961,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked NRG19c761.69$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2325345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed NRG26c752.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6226958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked NRG28c749.34$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0534542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145e…bb39backed NRG13c742.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed Team Falcons72c712.07$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.762763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed NRG24c700$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16778348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons80c642.24$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0141069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Falcons80c626.54$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.317648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons69c618.61$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4924346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed NRG17c617.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0711646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Team Falcons68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Team Falcons77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Falcons80c557.33$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.477439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons75c549$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NRG20c537.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.991,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Team Falcons78c535.56$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8221460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG16c532.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.963,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed NRG21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10521055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG13c477.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Team Falcons66c477.62$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.398065%52 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked NRG21c466$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Team Falcons77c458.89$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.557546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed NRG23c440.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3952…c2b4backed NRG27c440$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…c2c6backed Team Falcons72c440$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.22250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG10c430.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.195,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NRG5c399.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons77c392.44$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.651,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Team Falcons78c386.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4512955%71 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed NRG21c376.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0217857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed NRG13c345$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8529831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Team Falcons79c339.53$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.317761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed NRG21c329.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1819935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81a7…d9fabacked NRG12c322.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Team Falcons79c318.82$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG26c318$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.041,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Team Falcons79c316.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3719350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed NRG25c311.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7650833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons73c310.54$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.761,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NRG32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9676546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Team Falcons75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked NRG25c298.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.725738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed NRG34c294.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Team Falcons75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7038456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.