TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG0c3,842$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG13c3,567$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7330726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked NRG19c2,748$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7514144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NRG3c2,127$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed NRG23c1,792$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6418536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NRG9c1,700$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.961,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG9c1,558$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons80c1,542$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0728443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG14c1,483$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.671,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team Falcons70c1,417$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.35151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked NRG4c1,345$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5221939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Falcons71c1,331$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4525147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed NRG22c1,219$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked NRG32c1,198$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG29c1,161$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.192,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed NRG5c1,053$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG14c946.18$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Team Falcons78c917.27$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0522342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG20c887.37$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.352,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Team Falcons71c846.05$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.058065%52 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG19c815.84$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Team Falcons70c767.24$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.844645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG2c761.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed NRG29c686.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons70c679.98$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20435242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NRG7c639.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG2c608.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons70c601.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG7c598.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.335,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG29c560.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.831,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked NRG18c555.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9419022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed NRG29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14524134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed NRG5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NRG15c462.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.011,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d5…c615backed NRG11c421.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.587335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Team Falcons76c394.21$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.733960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed NRG13c386.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7634156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NRG8c369.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.639248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed NRG14c332$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.436555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae16…7111backed Team Falcons73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed NRG24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Team Falcons76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed NRG30c283.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.941040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Falcons71c279.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9998856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Team Falcons70c207.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.148444%37 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Team Falcons74c200.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8253850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed NRG22c184.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed NRG29c174.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7745639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed NRG23c169.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.713514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked NRG29c169$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8347738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed NRG30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Team Falcons69c162.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed NRG31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-73.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Team Falcons73c160$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.415063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab35…60f6backed Team Falcons51c129.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.495534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed NRG49c124.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.194223.8%10 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed NRG20c123.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9212641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked NRG17c120.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1759647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…e5d6backed NRG22c113.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf376…9356backed Team Falcons77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.672,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG18c96.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.121,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG15c93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG28c88.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.645,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed NRG30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Team Falcons73c82.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7122252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Falcons69c79.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.716058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG25c78.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Team Falcons70c76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed NRG25c59.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7439237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Team Falcons70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1412273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons79c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Falcons77c52.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1753859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Team Falcons73c51.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked NRG30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f7…60a7backed Team Falcons79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.972972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG28c37.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed NRG31c32.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Team Falcons71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1749947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Team Falcons70c27.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Team Falcons75c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7519252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd34…830cbacked Team Falcons71c17.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked Team Falcons72c16.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.468447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed Team Falcons72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2818963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Team Falcons72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.229153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.