TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf376…9356

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$116.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$78.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$50.36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$108.91
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$25.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.