CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7addfe9f551bc1431f8b3179cd41ddb3377b2700b60d2d1e111bb66e5300a3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed M80 | 36c | 69,341$24,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,673.35 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 65,137$42,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,797.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed M80 | 16c | 33,690$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.45 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed M80 | 34c | 28,734$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,887.82 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 24,560$15,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,608.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 16,205$10,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 12,280$7,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…c6b7backed M80 | 34c | 11,798$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked M80 | 17c | 8,807$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.06 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…f2ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 7,553$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 7,441$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 4,870$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.68 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M80 | 34c | 4,261$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.69 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked M80 | 33c | 4,260$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.78 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked M80 | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…bcd5backed M80 | 37c | 4,000$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed M80 | 34c | 3,821$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.12 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed M80 | 34c | 3,531$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.17 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 3,104$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed M80 | 33c | 2,684$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.43 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked M80 | 34c | 2,176$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.86 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked M80 | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed M80 | 25c | 1,870$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,811$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked M80 | 23c | 1,734$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 16c | 1,718$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed M80 | 33c | 1,530$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.45 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked M80 | 28c | 1,444$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed M80 | 37c | 1,335$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed M80 | 35c | 1,296$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed M80 | 15c | 1,258$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed M80 | 26c | 1,251$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked M80 | 23c | 1,216$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed M80 | 41c | 1,205$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,169$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed M80 | 34c | 1,110$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.69 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed M80 | 18c | 1,081$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,050$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 945$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed M80 | 27c | 880$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 862.83$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed M80 | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 799.39$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 775.59$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed M80 | 39c | 741.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed M80 | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 604.8$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed M80 | 32c | 590.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 555$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 510.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed M80 | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed M80 | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed M80 | 31c | 461.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 419.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 395$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…9551backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed M80 | 16c | 320.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 311.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 304.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked M80 | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 283.65$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 282.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…eef8backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 282.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 278.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 31c | 277.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…3193backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 275.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 271$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 256.8$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 20c | 248.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed M80 | 32c | 245.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 16c | 242.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…987ebacked M80 | 25c | 241.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…4e8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 208$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed M80 | 32c | 201.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked M80 | 28c | 199.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed M80 | 26c | 192.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed M80 | 13c | 186.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed M80 | 33c | 176.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 170.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked M80 | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked M80 | 16c | 170.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed M80 | 27c | 154.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked M80 | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked M80 | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a30bbacked M80 | 23c | 139.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 119.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked M80 | 13c | 116.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.