CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3018304f60ba48c692c8441c563a91d558b9df08b8506164c4699860f993080c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 74,990$50,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,246.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 44,301$29,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,062.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked M80 | 30c | 29,350$8,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,785.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed M80 | 32c | 26,348$8,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,539.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked M80 | 33c | 24,960$8,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,236.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed M80 | 11c | 23,936$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.18 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 20,895$14,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked M80 | 18c | 17,900$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 11,259$7,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.58 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked M80 | 7c | 10,391$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.23 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked M80 | 32c | 9,842$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed M80 | 32c | 8,412$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.3 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked M80 | 15c | 8,398$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.31 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 22c | 7,709$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.98 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 6,650$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.41 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 6,600$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked M80 | 22c | 6,521$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked M80 | 32c | 6,200$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 5,900$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.28 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked M80 | 34c | 5,735$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.9 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 40c | 5,125$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.51 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed M80 | 32c | 5,092$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked M80 | 34c | 4,989$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.96 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed M80 | 34c | 4,895$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.21 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed M80 | 18c | 4,860$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.13 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 4,407$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.03 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 39c | 3,682$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.66 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,443$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.69 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed M80 | 34c | 3,124$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.29 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked M80 | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked M80 | 28c | 2,849$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.57 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,764$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.54 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed M80 | 35c | 2,529$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked M80 | 38c | 2,421$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…84debacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 2,400$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked M80 | 34c | 2,078$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.68 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 2,067$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.04 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed M80 | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed M80 | 18c | 1,946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.18 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed M80 | 34c | 1,885$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed M80 | 30c | 1,864$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.05 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked M80 | 32c | 1,860$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.12 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 1,845$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.64 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked M80 | 15c | 1,838$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,805$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…3540backed M80 | 15c | 1,670$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed M80 | 33c | 1,590$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.6 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed M80 | 33c | 1,550$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked M80 | 34c | 1,543$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed M80 | 39c | 1,539$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed M80 | 33c | 1,539$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked M80 | 36c | 1,499$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed M80 | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed M80 | 19c | 1,466$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.18 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed M80 | 36c | 1,371$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed M80 | 35c | 1,369$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.97 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 20c | 1,352$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked M80 | 15c | 1,337$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,321$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.18 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,186$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked M80 | 34c | 1,148$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.73 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,125$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked M80 | 33c | 1,085$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.36 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed M80 | 37c | 1,084$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.08 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,076$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed M80 | 25c | 1,048$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.96 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,005$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked M80 | 32c | 1,003$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed M80 | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked M80 | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed M80 | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 994.77$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed M80 | 34c | 944$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.96 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed M80 | 34c | 940.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed M80 | 22c | 938$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…89f7backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 901.03$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 37c | 888.01$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 879.58$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.27 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed M80 | 23c | 879.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed M80 | 34c | 878$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…cd68backed M80 | 34c | 872.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed M80 | 34c | 850$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked M80 | 32c | 810$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed M80 | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed M80 | 21c | 768$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed M80 | 36c | 759.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked M80 | 29c | 758.44$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked M80 | 38c | 737$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed M80 | 34c | 714$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked M80 | 19c | 690$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked M80 | 36c | 679.24$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked M80 | 30c | 656.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 31c | 637.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 600$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.