CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ebdf7c55b925affef30b3afb1e989637bdce85b35f5a41d2d23bdbe85ac410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed M80 | 57c | 26,359$15,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,024.9 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed M80 | 54c | 16,390$8,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,876.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 13,675$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.61 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 56c | 12,267$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.42 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,839.99 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 10,541$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.1 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed M80 | 57c | 10,537$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 3,560$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.63 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed M80 | 58c | 2,604$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed M80 | 53c | 2,322$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.82 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,980$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.69 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.64 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,819$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.51 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed M80 | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,349$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.33 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,345$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.65 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,137$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.04 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,018$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.72 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 846.7$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.22 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 826$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.04 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 758$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 256 | 47.7%122 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed M80 | 56c | 673.87$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 542$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 530.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 429.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 400.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 369.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked M80 | 58c | 341.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 314.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked M80 | 56c | 313.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 264$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 231.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed M80 | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed M80 | 57c | 210.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed M80 | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked M80 | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed M80 | 56c | 178.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 61.2%191 W · 121 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 159.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 141.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed M80 | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed M80 | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…d3b5backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 119.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked M80 | 57c | 107.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…6ac0backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 103.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked M80 | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed M80 | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed M80 | 37c | 98.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 98.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 24c | 97.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 92.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked M80 | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked M80 | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 88.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed M80 | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 65.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…707fbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 61.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 59.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked M80 | 36c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed M80 | 57c | 56.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 388 | 38.7%150 W · 238 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 54.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 49.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 43.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 38.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 36.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 147 | 69.4%102 W · 45 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed M80 | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…69f6backed M80 | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…b8efbacked M80 | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 33.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 32.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…d80dbacked M80 | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed M80 | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 26.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 24.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.