CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4886441add1403fb483187e9457f7fa88f0650176a1d145bd732c2afc6497c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 74,687$56,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,932.86 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed M80 | 27c | 74,058$19,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,995.59 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 50,090$36,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,026.32 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked M80 | 26c | 48,388$12,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,477.85 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed M80 | 21c | 42,448$8,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,726.06 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked M80 | 27c | 35,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.94 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed M80 | 28c | 30,000$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 24,778$18,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.13 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…464cbacked M80 | 0c | 16,611$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed M80 | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 12,000$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 10,759$7,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 7,912$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.35 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c890backed M80 | 27c | 7,423$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 7,100$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 6,700$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 6,500$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.98 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked M80 | 18c | 6,494$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 6,073$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.71 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 6,056$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 5,886$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.1 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 20c | 5,396$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 5,389$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.94 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed M80 | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed M80 | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked M80 | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed M80 | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 3,700$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 3,530$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.1 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 14c | 3,194$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked M80 | 27c | 2,592$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 2,504$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.12 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed M80 | 27c | 2,288$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.67 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…ef79backed M80 | 14c | 2,280$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…d66abacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,194$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,025$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.66 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,818$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed M80 | 28c | 1,790$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed M80 | 28c | 1,788$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked M80 | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 28c | 1,763$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…54cebacked M80 | 28c | 1,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…dbebbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,600$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed M80 | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked M80 | 14c | 1,450$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed M80 | 27c | 1,409$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 11c | 1,406$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed M80 | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,389$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,369$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed M80 | 11c | 1,332$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked M80 | 28c | 1,257$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.91 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked M80 | 15c | 1,168$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked M80 | 27c | 1,032$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked M80 | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed M80 | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 988$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…cea5backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 940.66$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed M80 | 27c | 899.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked M80 | 28c | 887$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 839.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 833.33$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 809.2$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.48 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 780.82$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed M80 | 26c | 766.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked M80 | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 733.29$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 711.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 704.11$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed M80 | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…d46ebacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed M80 | 14c | 687.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed M80 | 10c | 681$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed M80 | 10c | 628$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 602.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…c93bbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed M80 | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed M80 | 28c | 540.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed M80 | 28c | 517.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…8380backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 514.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…7f26backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 512.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 510$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed M80 | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 465.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 450$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.