TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fb7…c93b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.14
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.3
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63.51
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.97
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.25
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$24.64
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.2
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.88
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+235.4%+$1,122.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$203.5
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+111.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.41
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$185.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$50.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kingsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.