MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75da8dbd8ec6c97c6f983d0c196b7f21159b5bb7aaced5912472ebf2de8d6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Minnesota Twins, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,057,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,069,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 192,695$74,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,713.42 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 184,209$114,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,999.41 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 140,000$86,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,200 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 121,182$44,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,386.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 84,000$51,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,759.85 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 69,317$26,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,849.68 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 42,361$18,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,723.91 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 34,357$13,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,369.78 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 28,723$14,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,153.78 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 25,301$9,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 25,184$10,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,610.59 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 16,216$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,216.22 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 15,678$8,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,779.69 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 15,209$7,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,904.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 12,544$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 12,500$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 11,666$7,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 10,974$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.19 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 9,468$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.44 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 9,435$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.15 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 9,022$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 8,296$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 8,167$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.73 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 4,004$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.4 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 3,679$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.11 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 3,670$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.6 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 3,378$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 3,363$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.27 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 3,191$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 2,542$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,402$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 2,275$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.55 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,155$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,982$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,979$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.83 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,763$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.7 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,660$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…c93bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,600$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,539$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 1,528$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.43 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,527$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.83 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,506$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.19 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,247$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.01 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,233$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 1,155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,146$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.32 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,029$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,002$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 975.49$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 902$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 877.61$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.49 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 824.39$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 793.44$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.44 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 787.58$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.68 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 744.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 729.22$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.83 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…9f29backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 728.54$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 710.48$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…3ed9backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 665$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 664.56$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 655.03$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…54cebacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 556.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 543$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 536.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 524.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 524.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 514.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 514.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 499.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 486.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 438.28$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 437$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 430.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 404$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2d33backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 385$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 378.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 369.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.