NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc4bf1363696510ae9868347e338ae3f720987c93248ce95169b86442f1ddc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nuggets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,640,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,725,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,640,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 58c | 113,453$65,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,803.02 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Nuggets | 57c | 103,408$59,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,204.5 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 57c | 65,956$37,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,460.59 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 16c | 38,710$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 74c | 35,989$26,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,206.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 63c | 34,087$21,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,457.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Nuggets | 58c | 30,253$17,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,546.77 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Nuggets | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Nuggets | 3c | 28,407$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Nets | 43c | 22,939$9,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,995.94 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Nets | 43c | 22,921$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,064.93 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets | 57c | 22,904$13,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,055.37 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Nuggets | 0c | 21,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 42c | 20,414$8,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,811.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nets | 43c | 19,756$8,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,348.48 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 42c | 19,519$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,272.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 44c | 19,354$8,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,905.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 56c | 18,361$10,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,275.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Nuggets | 36c | 17,651$6,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.4 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 43c | 17,398$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,963.79 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nets | 42c | 17,253$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,006.83 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 56c | 17,134$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,585.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 43c | 16,918$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,676.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 20c | 16,854$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.98 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 53c | 16,469$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.77 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Nets | 42c | 15,881$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.04 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 44c | 15,114$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Nets | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Nets | 47c | 14,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.95 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Nuggets | 53c | 13,213$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Nets | 52c | 12,828$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.15 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Nets | 46c | 12,532$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,808.22 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Nuggets | 16c | 11,468$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.52 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 65c | 11,347$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 41c | 11,300$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.22 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 0c | 11,299$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 25c | 9,080$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.43 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 7,799$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Nets | 42c | 7,605$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets | 42c | 7,603$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Nuggets | 44c | 7,061$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…25f7backed Nets | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Nets | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 43c | 6,784$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nets | 49c | 6,770$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.1 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Nuggets | 0c | 6,646$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 5c | 6,508$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…7897backed Nets | 44c | 6,300$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Nuggets | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Nets | 42c | 5,999$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.37 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nuggets | 52c | 5,886$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.02 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Nuggets | 59c | 5,703$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Nets | 42c | 5,700$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Nets | 43c | 5,664$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.48 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Nets | 42c | 5,663$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.79 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nets | 42c | 5,582$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.56 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…0d40backed Nets | 44c | 5,386$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Nuggets | 9c | 5,294$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 6c | 5,284$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets | 42c | 5,263$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.54 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Nuggets | 57c | 5,236$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 52c | 5,184$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.56 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…c93dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 5,111$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Nets | 60c | 5,082$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nets | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Nuggets | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Nets | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…7236backed Nuggets | 56c | 4,884$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 10c | 4,818$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.41 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 56c | 4,758$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Nuggets | 43c | 4,628$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f97…f5adbacked Nets | 44c | 4,609$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Nets | 63c | 4,560$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.93 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets | 11c | 4,550$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.45 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Nets | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nets | 42c | 4,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 57c | 4,400$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…b7a6backed Nuggets | 56c | 4,300$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 37c | 4,113$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.97 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nets | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 44c | 4,000$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.05 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 40c | 4,000$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.31 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nuggets | 29c | 3,984$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.88 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 59c | 3,965$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.35 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nets | 42c | 3,962$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.34 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,879$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.75 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Nets | 42c | 3,812$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.79 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Nets | 44c | 3,676$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.56 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ca0bbacked Nuggets | 19c | 3,585$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.83 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Nuggets | 36c | 3,585$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.87 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Nets | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets | 57c | 3,505$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nets | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 3,493$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nets | 46c | 3,482$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.84 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nets | 42c | 3,390$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.2 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Nets | 43c | 3,384$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.72 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Nuggets | 57c | 3,284$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.87 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Netsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nets won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.