TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,041 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under50c14,911$7,455 inLost-$7,455.4819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over55c10,737$5,905 inWon+$4,831.751,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c5,265$2,371 inLost-$2,370.713,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c5,000$2,580 inWon+$2,4202,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon+$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost-$1,96057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c3,198$1,633 inWon+$1,565.052,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c2,275$1,160 inWon+$1,114.512,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,951$956 inLost-$956.024,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over51c1,848$942 inWon+$905.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c1,189$645 inWon+$543.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon+$55056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c1,081$544 inWon+$537.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c778$350 inLost-$350.12,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c612$300 inLost-$299.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under48c515$247 inLost-$247.230351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c300$153 inWon+$14745647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon+$57.6513651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over57c105.26$60 inWon+$45.2611853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost-$5024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c100$52 inWon+$482,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c100$51 inWon+$493,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d292backed Under50c100$50 inLost-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c50$23 inLost-$22.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Over50c48.96$24 inWon+$24.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under50c40$20 inLost-$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Under50c40$20 inLost-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbea1…1408backed Over51c37.88$19 inWon+$18.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Under48c29.23$14 inLost-$14.0312149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over52c29.11$15 inWon+$13.9793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over53c22.08$12 inWon+$10.385457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over50c20$10 inWon+$1037949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.