NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe397b22edc19d6a4ea777a6f7f58fb6dc5cd80af7e61a52d7849750f549d2f1a

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Nuggets, Nets
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,168 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets	52c	27,886$14,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,385.36	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets	48c	22,939$11,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,010.72	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets	48c	7,877$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,814.62	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	48c	7,860$3,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,780.16	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets	51c	6,000$3,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,945.21	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	48c	5,893$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,819.69	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Nets	52c	5,769$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,769.23	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	48c	4,751$2,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,274.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Nets	53c	3,775$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.25	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets	51c	3,001$1,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470.49	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets	51c	2,751$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.65	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Nets	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.98	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets	49c	2,243$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.05	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Nuggets	52c	2,200$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Nuggets	51c	2,180$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.8	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…74c2backed Nets	49c	2,180$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc96…8a0bbacked Nets	49c	2,160$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.6	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…e970backed Nuggets	51c	2,160$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.6	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.7wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Nets	49c	2,150$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…ff56backed Nuggets	51c	2,150$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Nets	49c	2,150$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.5	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Nuggets	51c	2,150$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f9f…6ee5backed Nuggets	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fdf…2b11backed Nets	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Nets	51c	1,969$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.63	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Nuggets	52c	1,800$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.85	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets	49c	1,600$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Nuggets	51c	1,310$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.95	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Nuggets	48c	1,080$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.6	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	49c	1,002$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.98	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Nets	52c	965.73$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.73	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nets	53c	945.3$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.3	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Nets	48c	869.56$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.17	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Nuggets	50c	722$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Nuggets	49c	408.28$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Nuggets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Nuggets	48c	375.16$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.25	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Nets	49c	373.16$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.31	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c3…b342backed Nuggets	52c	336.54$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets	50c	319.61$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.8	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets	48c	293$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.64	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6d…8a40backed Nuggets	51c	292.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Nets	49c	280$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.8	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Nuggets	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.1wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Nets	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Nets	51c	239.51$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.51	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xffba…673fbacked Nets	49c	224.49$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets	49c	202.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets	51c	200.41$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.17	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nets	52c	194.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.6	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets	49c	178.43$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets	49c	160$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Nuggets	49c	132.39$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.87	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Nets	51c	117.75$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.75	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Nuggets	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Nets	49c	112.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Nets	51c	111.76$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.76	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Nets	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Nets	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	107	58.9%63 W · 44 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Nuggets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Nuggets	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Nets	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Nuggets	23c	65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x196a…376abacked Nuggets	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60aa…0df0backed Nets	51c	58.8$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets	48c	56$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Nuggets	47c	54.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Nets	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	114	71.9%82 W · 32 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Nuggets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Nuggets	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nets	51c	39.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.39	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Nuggets	52c	38.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	248	50%124 W · 124 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Nets	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Nets	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Nets	50c	37.04$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.52	126	54%68 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Nuggets	46c	30.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	119	30.3%36 W · 83 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Nuggets	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-59%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nuggets	52c	29.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Nuggets	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Nuggets	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…7f18backed Nets	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nuggets	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Nuggets	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Nuggets	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Nuggets	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	318	52.2%166 W · 152 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a4…5f78backed Nets	53c	21.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	100	53%53 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	47c	21.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Nets	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+5.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Nets	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event