TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof B8, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed B830c25,434$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,688.1713548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit69c24,961$17,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.841,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Spirit69c20,000$13,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1009148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked B830c16,217$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.183839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked B818c13,850$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.132948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked B844c10,437$4,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,561.5325555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed B839c9,767$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.431,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked B823c9,367$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.7575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Spirit75c8,627$6,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.8132552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked B831c8,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48029235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit74c7,912$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.3788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed B828c7,231$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.3419468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa21b…e4e4backed Spirit59c7,046$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed B819c6,600$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2543040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit57c6,133$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.1832348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit69c5,930$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.5387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked B852c5,703$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.3959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B826c5,606$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.512,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed B827c5,099$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.240264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed B830c4,525$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed B843c4,461$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.8717062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit73c4,389$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.931,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit48c3,919$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.9422129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed B812c3,508$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40830153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit63c3,470$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.371,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked B840c3,400$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3481,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit70c3,341$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.871,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit70c3,280$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.172,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked B830c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Spirit58c2,982$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.985,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit76c2,974$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.3844957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed B830c2,940$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.1217737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit71c2,858$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.775,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce9…7677backed B821c2,605$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed B830c2,134$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.474,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed B851c2,099$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.922,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit73c2,028$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.3840253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed B850c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed B831c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62011740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit55c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8907844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B830c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked B827c1,938$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4816142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Spirit70c1,825$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.479565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Spirit70c1,789$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.785446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed B827c1,682$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Spirit55c1,646$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.716946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Spirit79c1,606$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8923072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit66c1,483$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.882,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee82…bd96backed Spirit68c1,467$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.04862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit57c1,394$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.2275245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Spirit53c1,309$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0927438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed B83c1,220$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.612810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed B819c1,200$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x609d…3fa9backed Spirit70c1,071$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.439963.6%63 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked B845c1,055$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.615053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked B816c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Spirit69c942.39$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6235054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit69c894.87$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.913,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed B820c876.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.167642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit70c796$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.445646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B826c792.81$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed B831c774.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit69c721.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5317967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Spirit70c714.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3911650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed B814c702$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2813840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B831c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2175,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spirit72c699.17$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.22,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed B835c676.02$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6116633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Spirit79c654.35$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0539970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Spirit46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1723858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked B830c649.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19511546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f64…14a5backed B831c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ee…c7dfbacked B843c581.6$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8407…4589backed B812c560$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.62133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit56c555$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.238650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit48c533.18$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.027,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed B845c524.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.351,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked B845c506.73$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0323249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed Spirit74c501.88$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8715052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B834c500$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.182,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit66c478.85$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.022,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4858…3dd3backed B843c438.35$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe295…d437backed Spirit70c437.29$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.192548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked B817c436.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.143537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked B830c434$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.518240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b49…d827backed B821c427.09$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.082433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked B833c408.52$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5438844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked B811c400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed B850c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit71c399.97$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9949849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked B824c390.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2219236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit78c388$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.553,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed B838c382.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2372139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Spirit69c345$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9525651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed B829c328.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.311944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit71c328.46$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.861,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…a026backed B831c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked B842c322$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.