CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf90e77b549d62f1a08fa32798df4f977ef8961702aa388a24ece71c2eb3f329a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 6,767$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.34 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 5,831$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 62c | 1,839$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.3 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 38c | 1,731$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.69 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 61c | 983.6$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 61c | 903.23$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.21 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 551$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 64c | 498.02$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 65c | 285.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 37c | 282.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 61c | 280.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…acb0backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 59c | 188.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 24c | 145.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 37c | 135.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 39c | 128.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 62c | 114.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…b027backed Over | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 77c | 74.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Over | 53c | 69.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 32c | 64.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 39c | 64.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 39c | 53.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 62c | 48.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Under | 62c | 48.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 44.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 61c | 41.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 25c | 40.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed Under | 62c | 40.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 61c | 25.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 62c | 21.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 61c | 19.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 16.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Under | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.