CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb43648ad77f48b08c5fa90d9c160471e2728b344d9dce17e9d46a3497f798dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed B8 | 47c | 59,439$27,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,936.33 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 46c | 33,005$15,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,182.51 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.98 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 54c | 18,206$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Spirit | 54c | 12,065$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.83 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed B8 | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.98 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Spirit | 53c | 5,942$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed B8 | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…9980backed B8 | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Spirit | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit | 53c | 2,676$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.69 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spirit | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed B8 | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.97 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Spirit | 54c | 1,528$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Spirit | 54c | 1,155$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked B8 | 47c | 1,130$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.05 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Spirit | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked B8 | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit | 66c | 920.65$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Spirit | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed B8 | 45c | 909.09$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.09 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 56c | 879.68$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed B8 | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 59c | 771.74$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed B8 | 47c | 769.12$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed B8 | 46c | 758.85$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Spirit | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 53c | 754.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.71 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Spirit | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…99e1backed B8 | 46c | 650.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed B8 | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Spirit | 54c | 614.7$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.76 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked B8 | 41c | 592$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Spirit | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked B8 | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 54c | 365.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Spirit | 64c | 348.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Spirit | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked B8 | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked B8 | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Spirit | 54c | 299.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Spirit | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed B8 | 40c | 275.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Spirit | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Spirit | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…f549backed B8 | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Spirit | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed B8 | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked B8 | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed B8 | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed B8 | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked B8 | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spirit | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked B8 | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked B8 | 47c | 198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked B8 | 47c | 194.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed B8 | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Spirit | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Spirit | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Spirit | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed B8 | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked B8 | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Spirit | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Spirit | 54c | 145.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Spirit | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Spirit | 54c | 138.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spirit | 63c | 134.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Spirit | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed B8 | 47c | 127.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Spirit | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed B8 | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Spirit | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed B8 | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Spirit | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Spirit | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit | 64c | 98.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Spirit | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…b344backed Spirit | 54c | 94.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Spirit | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…c89abacked Spirit | 54c | 90.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spirit | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Spirit | 54c | 74.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Spirit | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Spirit | 53c | 70.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Spirit | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit | 78c | 67.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Spirit | 54c | 64.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0440backed B8 | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed B8 | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed B8 | 47c | 58.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked B8 | 47c | 55.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked B8 | 47c | 55.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.