China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc23ef1d55fb8d4a1b21b7c8780aa1b6b019262dda806da8a79dc8ada217f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,234,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,330,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,234,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 56,125$44,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,904.03 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 47c | 54,455$25,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,848.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…2cfdbacked Yes | 30c | 40,153$11,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,304.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 41c | 37,768$15,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,376.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 26cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…f535backed Yes | 52c | 21,963$11,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,572.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…ea72backed Yes | 43c | 21,871$9,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,361.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…6143backed Yes | 71c | 21,651$15,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,354.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked No | 64c | 19,411$12,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,348.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Yes | 41c | 17,820$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,449.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…31a9backed No | 1c | 14,634$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 34c | 14,349$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,466.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 57c | 11,545$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…def7backed No | 3c | 11,470$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…8608backed Yes | 32c | 10,396$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…a2d9backed Yes | 36c | 10,094$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…242abacked Yes | 36c | 9,575$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 38c | 9,408$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe69…e8efbacked No | 0c | 8,690$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 4c | 8,340$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…7775backed Yes | 59c | 8,159$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed No | 66c | 6,287$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc04…f132backed Yes | 40c | 6,065$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 36c | 5,582$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…64bfbacked No | 6c | 5,566$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…2cfdbacked No | 0c | 5,514$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…c40bbacked No | 2c | 5,405$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…e9bdbacked No | 1c | 5,313$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 2c | 4,805$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…9f01backed No | 63c | 4,794$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Yes | 40c | 4,632$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 4,605$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…6eecbacked Yes | 34c | 4,446$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…4c4cbacked No | 35c | 4,306$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 57c | 4,084$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 64c | 4,014$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 38c | 3,960$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 0c | 3,906$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 3,858$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 40c | 3,857$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…3c25backed No | 13c | 3,692$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85a…60e6backed No | 4c | 3,642$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…1f1cbacked No | 70c | 3,436$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked No | 2c | 3,431$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…d5dbbacked No | 3c | 3,387$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 47c | 3,387$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…b7b9backed No | 60c | 3,353$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3842…4500backed No | 3c | 3,138$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…1ce8backed No | 1c | 3,110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,091$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…b8c5backed No | 61c | 3,074$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed No | 67c | 3,005$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed No | 2c | 2,982$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked No | 3c | 2,849$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 63c | 2,787$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 2c | 2,725$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed No | 7c | 2,644$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e4…4a73backed No | 3c | 2,611$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 58c | 2,579$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4c…ebdabacked No | 4c | 2,577$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 71c | 2,504$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 66c | 2,502$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 63c | 2,500$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 2,493$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…c0b1backed No | 71c | 2,483$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…f762backed No | 3c | 2,454$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…b331backed Yes | 41c | 2,418$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed No | 8c | 2,403$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…6397backed Yes | 53c | 2,325$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 27c | 2,266$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…6a9cbacked No | 60c | 2,240$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 60c | 2,222$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8020…1930backed No | 3c | 2,197$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked No | 1c | 2,176$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…2de8backed No | 3c | 2,155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…6de6backed No | 65c | 2,118$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4ea1backed No | 3c | 2,113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…353bbacked No | 3c | 2,104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…65b0backed No | 3c | 2,104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,097$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…818bbacked No | 3c | 2,084$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…e51fbacked No | 3c | 2,084$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…32f5backed No | 3c | 2,043$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…8347backed No | 3c | 2,043$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 9c | 2,039$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a42…f1d7backed No | 3c | 2,018$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…11c5backed No | 3c | 1,988$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…6be4backed No | 3c | 1,986$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…6dfdbacked No | 3c | 1,986$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…5d79backed Yes | 36c | 1,969$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9b49backed No | 3c | 1,965$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,942$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked No | 3c | 1,853$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…3ab7backed No | 3c | 1,850$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 1,850$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 49c | 1,811$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,789$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…da3cbacked No | 61c | 1,774$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 1,700$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 29c | 1,684$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,663$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.