TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Legacy, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$598,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$683,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,268 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Spirit69c90,825$62,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,013.9925355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Legacy29c36,010$10,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,393.227454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Legacy14c29,277$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.6122129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit65c18,221$11,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400.8117062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Legacy47c17,923$8,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,357.899565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Legacy35c14,431$5,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,116.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Spirit71c14,085$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.518670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Legacy26c13,436$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.8535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed Legacy29c12,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4801942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Legacy26c10,386$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,71027740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit77c9,495$7,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.4240264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Legacy29c9,060$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.391030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe391…263ebacked Legacy1c8,436$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Legacy38c7,997$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.3917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy48c6,424$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.6181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Legacy33c6,127$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0308741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Legacy29c6,070$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.321945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Legacy29c5,904$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Spirit78c5,229$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.472356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy7c5,199$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.5375450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9755236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Legacy26c4,552$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.263426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Spirit71c4,440$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.713551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Legacy28c4,413$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.6769445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Spirit71c4,303$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.1525248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit64c4,209$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.761,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Legacy25c4,156$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.811947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed Legacy29c4,058$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.835143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked Spirit75c4,004$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Spirit63c3,961$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Legacy51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked Spirit69c3,762$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.073050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Spirit69c3,698$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.841,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed Spirit68c3,597$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.838246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit55c3,584$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.2132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spirit64c3,439$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.8140253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit59c3,424$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.7310753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Legacy7c3,333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.312810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed Spirit71c3,330$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Legacy51c3,222$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.262,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy30c3,155$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit60c3,083$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.1688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f1…aa80backed Legacy32c3,023$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit72c2,959$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed Spirit74c2,947$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.546173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Spirit77c2,859$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.2510056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit71c2,648$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Legacy8c2,500$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.94250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Spirit72c2,460$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.874553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Legacy41c2,420$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fe…5a7ebacked Spirit71c2,310$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.91070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab1b…99e1backed Legacy28c2,300$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6441833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4049…aeaabacked Spirit45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.22540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Legacy28c2,221$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.9714846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Legacy29c2,197$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.875245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Legacy46c2,111$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.062634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit65c2,089$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.515,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Legacy29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58021055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Legacy38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76019443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Legacy43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Legacy7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.997844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Legacy35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.995451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe49d…cc93backed Spirit71c1,925$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed Legacy29c1,854$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit74c1,810$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy28c1,800$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.585,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Legacy29c1,736$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.510143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f0…b287backed Legacy40c1,720$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spirit59c1,712$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.971,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…3e22backed Legacy29c1,700$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked Spirit76c1,687$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.82766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…4a30backed Spirit60c1,682$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.86757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3f…ebdfbacked Spirit58c1,570$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Spirit72c1,554$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4357065.7%46 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Legacy40c1,518$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy33c1,478$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8361948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe185…f574backed Spirit72c1,463$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Spirit71c1,405$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8112451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ef…7d38backed Spirit72c1,386$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.013154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Legacy40c1,372$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6419840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit72c1,370$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.161,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6810…1c7dbacked Spirit72c1,364$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.882969%20 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Spirit68c1,345$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8326075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Legacy60c1,326$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005054%27 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit58c1,300$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54668753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked Spirit71c1,294$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…1e02backed Spirit78c1,218$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Legacy1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit57c1,200$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51275245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Legacy2c1,144$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8921522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Spirit46c1,123$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.4427438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Spirit71c1,113$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6812545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit77c1,106$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.453,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Spirit72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30837557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy29c1,097$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1361034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Legacy29c1,059$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3077943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3a…5998backed Spirit76c1,050$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Legacy12c1,034$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Spirit69c1,025$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.147642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.