CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a6aa6b18d6eff5a90619d01547f8ffb70a3cd1d214a48d04ea628cdf72491fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 50c | 1,400$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Spirit | 49c | 1,037$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.03 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Legacy | 49c | 825.49$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.49 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Legacy | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed Legacy | 51c | 762.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 52c | 476.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spirit | 49c | 403.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Legacy | 51c | 307.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Legacy | 51c | 266$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Legacy | 49c | 230.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Spirit | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Legacy | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Spirit | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Legacy | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Spirit | 43c | 56.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked Spirit | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Legacy | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed Spirit | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…37a3backed Legacy | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Legacy | 51c | 34.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…98bbbacked Legacy | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Legacy | 49c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…f23fbacked Legacy | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Legacy | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Spirit | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Legacy | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.