TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked Legacy54c26,861$14,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,504.9214645.2%66 W · 80 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked Spirit48c26,861$12,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,052.232748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit48c19,748$9,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,268.841,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Spirit47c18,365$8,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,717.0336054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked Spirit46c17,741$8,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,647.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Legacy52c17,550$9,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,100.611844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Legacy50c17,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5005048%24 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit46c13,222$6,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,159.085,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Legacy53c13,115$6,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Legacy54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Legacy54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.955639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy54c9,550$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.8326256.1%147 W · 115 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Legacy53c9,501$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.3523043.9%101 W · 129 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy55c7,039$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,871.3667951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.837055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4049…aeaabacked Spirit46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.74540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spirit46c6,273$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.2353135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30050254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit50c5,800$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit46c5,525$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.992,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Spirit47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.1419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Legacy53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Legacy53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65046349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Spirit46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70027353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9955736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ae…66f3backed Legacy51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy55c3,680$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.361,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Legacy51c3,594$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Legacy52c3,448$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Spirit47c3,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.0916362%101 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Spirit46c2,372$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy54c2,100$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13478939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Legacy54c2,047$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.423528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea8e…ee37backed Spirit50c2,002$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02064748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Legacy52c1,999$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.482,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Legacy47c1,968$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.811729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Spirit49c1,816$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.3113650.7%69 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed Legacy55c1,770$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.79650%48 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf796…de54backed Legacy53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.9875545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Legacy53c1,176$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.436152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Spirit43c1,156$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.23836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Legacy54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9410837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.941,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked Spirit45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.015927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit47c1,094$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.342,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Legacy54c1,077$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1521463.6%136 W · 78 L-0.7wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a0…f447backed Spirit46c1,070$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Spirit47c1,055$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7624358%141 W · 102 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Spirit46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.1717149.1%84 W · 87 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Spirit48c1,052$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1722940.2%92 W · 137 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed Spirit46c1,050$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.152835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Spirit46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Spirit48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed Legacy54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9911643.1%50 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Legacy54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Legacy54c977.43$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.671,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Legacy54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48657740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spirit46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.572,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit44c868.24$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.451,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Legacy53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42419336.3%70 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Spirit46c764.61$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8918060.6%109 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe295…d437backed Spirit49c737.49$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.22548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Spirit51c612.87$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1810148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit46c577.22$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.211,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Legacy55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.56847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabe…f1c9backed Spirit46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.482161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad26…da90backed Spirit47c510$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.31080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spirit45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27530338.9%118 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540349.1%198 W · 205 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Spirit47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2657061.4%43 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Spirit50c485.07$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.191,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Spirit52c457.02$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0615856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Legacy56c444.93$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1272645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Legacy48c429.24$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0344643.5%194 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Legacy54c414.8$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9912552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Legacy55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22077247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Legacy52c381.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014953.7%80 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Legacy52c359.5$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6373553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Legacy58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020854.8%114 W · 94 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Legacy54c341.67$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.550349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Legacy54c335.91$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.097255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed Legacy54c318.52$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1728150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c33…b8f1backed Spirit46c312.91$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5076…711abacked Spirit50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a1…3835backed Spirit46c297.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Legacy54c296.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.031,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Legacy51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Legacy55c278.18$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Spirit46c278$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1274754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b6…7d7cbacked Legacy31c272.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.491050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Legacy51c270.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.82,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d80…e49fbacked Legacy55c264.65$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.562347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Spirit48c251.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7796945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit28c250.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed Legacy54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Spirit52c223.42$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2418055%99 W · 81 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.