CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789d2bbd4aa70c1361fd3dc81ea2cb925c76ab492597d23a24eefabd4a54fbeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Natus Vincere, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 15,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 14,900$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.39 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 14,675$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.58 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy | 80c | 11,807$9,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.59 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 7,513$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 75c | 6,426$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.41 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…7ab9backed Legacy | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 5,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.38 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.99 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 68c | 3,973$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.96 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 3,861$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.51 | 278 | 38.1%106 W · 172 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,845$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Legacy | 40c | 3,574$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.58 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc303…8129backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,516$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.33 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.99 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,428$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.7 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,181$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Legacy | 67c | 2,177$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.17 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,824$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,750$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,707$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,700$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.33 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,628$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,558$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,554$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,553$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.3 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,525$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,450$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Legacy | 61c | 1,292$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.83 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Legacy | 75c | 1,263$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,258$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,252$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.57 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,218$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.12 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,168$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,125$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.75 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,078$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Legacy | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 992.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 956$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 944.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 888.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 804.61$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.44 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…461abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 802.02$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Legacy | 39c | 799.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 732.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 711.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…427fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 700$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 698$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Legacy | 58c | 680.78$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.38 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 654.42$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 644.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 611.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 605.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 573$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…1c7dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 569.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 567.19$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 553.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…4289backed Legacy | 78c | 549.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 522$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 467.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 450$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…86b1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 434.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 428.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…115cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 415$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Legacy | 57c | 401.46$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 397$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 396.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.36 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2602…ef76backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 374.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy | 37c | 366.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 343.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 324.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 322.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 321.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 309.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 455 | 45.1%205 W · 250 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Legacy | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…d0cbbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 279.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 278.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 262$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 261.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Legacy | 39c | 237.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 220.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 213.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 210.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 205.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Legacy | 49c | 204.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 426 | 31.5%134 W · 292 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…f65fbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 199.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 196.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 195$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.