CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44608ee458659dbc68aca0ad4c65ad43e8af456f0fb70f56d7f25463df64e1da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 1,126$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.54 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 45c | 652$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 264.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed Over | 64c | 239.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 55c | 234.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 228$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 56c | 212.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Over | 59c | 169.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 158.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 139.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 45c | 127.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 59c | 85.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Under | 56c | 75.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 36c | 71.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…ba88backed Under | 56c | 69.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 44c | 66.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 40c | 63.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 39c | 61.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 32c | 51.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 32c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 38c | 47.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 55c | 42.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 45c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 32.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 31.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 28.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…24c5backed Under | 78c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 23.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 57c | 23.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.