TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lynn Visionof TYLOO, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lynn Vision42c8,027$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.911,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked TYLOO10c5,608$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.3822129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed TYLOO58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c890backed Lynn Vision57c4,982$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked TYLOO40c2,838$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.1575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed TYLOO58c2,671$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.699063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed TYLOO49c2,569$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Lynn Vision56c2,377$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.4616946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TYLOO39c2,232$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.2361034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed TYLOO7c2,194$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1110129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Lynn Vision55c2,131$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.819061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked TYLOO41c2,112$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.916142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TYLOO35c1,874$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.663,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed TYLOO58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed TYLOO63c1,699$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.0619057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed TYLOO7c1,614$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.489033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lynn Vision53c1,611$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.392,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Lynn Vision55c1,380$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.4511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lynn Vision49c1,276$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.152,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Lynn Vision72c1,173$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed TYLOO58c1,085$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.321545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4905…1683backed Lynn Vision35c1,052$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.062450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Lynn Vision57c1,014$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.0619468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed TYLOO2c699.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked TYLOO50c598.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked TYLOO42c592.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lynn Vision40c560.59$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.651,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision64c560.36$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.144,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TYLOO36c540$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.95,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed TYLOO41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TYLOO57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Lynn Vision34c499.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TYLOO17c445.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8669445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked TYLOO55c437.11$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.416643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Lynn Vision45c411.73$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4548240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked TYLOO63c410.01$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.212250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa211…c0e1backed TYLOO67c399.95$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed Lynn Vision55c388.61$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.948664%55 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TYLOO41c365.19$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.334,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed TYLOO58c347.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lynn Vision46c336.14$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.926,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a9…c69ebacked Lynn Vision30c334.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.522835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked TYLOO41c333.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Lynn Vision34c318.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.085028%14 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked TYLOO52c317.25$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16619548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed TYLOO18c308.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.32,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84b9…7e83backed TYLOO36c300.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked Lynn Vision58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed TYLOO50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TYLOO60c285$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.952,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Lynn Vision43c264.65$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked TYLOO30c250.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.841,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Lynn Vision43c250$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.183,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf931…516abacked TYLOO41c245.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed TYLOO49c236.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3772139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed TYLOO63c210.54$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5815052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked TYLOO61c208.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.541,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO42c206.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.977,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Lynn Vision73c200.76$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.440137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Lynn Vision62c200.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.024540%18 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked TYLOO75c198.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8538454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e4…c6dabacked Lynn Vision32c192.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed TYLOO8c191.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TYLOO37c189.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3439970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked TYLOO65c183.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Lynn Vision29c172$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.427438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…7691backed Lynn Vision34c161$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.266446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Lynn Vision63c159.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.694443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed TYLOO69c159.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.317949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked TYLOO57c152$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0219457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lynn Vision43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb621…707fbacked TYLOO67c148.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed TYLOO26c145.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked TYLOO68c144.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked TYLOO48c136.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.822,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Lynn Vision44c133.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Lynn Vision54c130.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5440264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed Lynn Vision43c125.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8610643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Lynn Vision44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.492,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.24,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Lynn Vision43c123.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1359343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked TYLOO38c121.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2752834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked TYLOO34c116.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.112,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Lynn Vision43c111.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7913050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Lynn Vision44c111.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.369034.4%31 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Lynn Vision36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1127961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5c…1cf7backed Lynn Vision43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.72263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1463…1dacbacked TYLOO41c108.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed TYLOO56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ef…d04fbacked Lynn Vision29c104.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+73.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed TYLOO41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Lynn Vision37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6312132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Lynn Vision33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1511831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Lynn Vision53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.158755.9%328 W · 259 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5290…6b17backed Lynn Vision58c95.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.581573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TYLOO17c94.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3672353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked TYLOO73c94.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.893951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked Lynn Vision35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Lynn Vision47c83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9721650.5%109 W · 107 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed TYLOO74c82.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6119142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.