CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f3f366777706237e75edf74a60f7772d332d23013e08adca710ce689901a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,590 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed NRG | 44c | 52,370$23,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,280.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked NRG | 45c | 43,000$19,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,350 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Team Falcons | 56c | 30,000$16,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,050 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 11,449$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.13 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 37c | 10,233$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.21 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Falcons | 55c | 9,995$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.65 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 53c | 8,940$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.8 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 5,827$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.25 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NRG | 41c | 4,035$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.38 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,848$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.39 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,586$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.95 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed NRG | 45c | 2,700$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,622$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.81 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,482$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.14 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,238$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.74 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed NRG | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed NRG | 45c | 2,010$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.5 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed NRG | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed NRG | 46c | 1,851$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed NRG | 40c | 1,566$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 42c | 1,475$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.47 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,032$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed NRG | 40c | 980$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 58c | 927.15$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.4 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 879.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.61 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Team Falcons | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed NRG | 45c | 653.82$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons | 59c | 643.06$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 600$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG | 38c | 537.46$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Falcons | 66c | 527.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 520$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed NRG | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 44c | 486.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 465.41$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed NRG | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed NRG | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked NRG | 42c | 445$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Team Falcons | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…cd78backed NRG | 45c | 390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 381.24$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NRG | 46c | 381$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 364.23$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Team Falcons | 60c | 362.35$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…4c7bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 360.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed NRG | 43c | 347.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…fbdcbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 338$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…e623backed Team Falcons | 55c | 338$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…cf7abacked NRG | 45c | 322$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG | 41c | 315.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Team Falcons | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked NRG | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…1c49backed Team Falcons | 55c | 283$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Falcons | 55c | 277.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 273.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed NRG | 49c | 251.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 251.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0964backed NRG | 45c | 247.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 9c | 232.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 229.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed NRG | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NRG | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 202$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NRG | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Team Falcons | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Team Falcons | 54c | 186.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Team Falcons | 54c | 185.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked NRG | 45c | 185$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed NRG | 42c | 184.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…94d9backed NRG | 44c | 173$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed NRG | 48c | 170.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 169.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 167.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…56dbbacked NRG | 44c | 167$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed NRG | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG | 43c | 164.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 160.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…27d2backed NRG | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Team Falcons | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…3108backed NRG | 43c | 157$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Team Falcons | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 152.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team Falcons | 55c | 151.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked NRG | 44c | 148.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 56c | 148.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed NRG | 44c | 146.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Team Falcons | 55c | 142.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.