TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf79a…6112

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+239.3%+$14,888.38
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$31.43
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,998.9
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+125%+$1,836.42
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$54.24
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$1,991.67
Will Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$338.46
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,234.74
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.17
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$128.96
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.99
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)backed Adelaide United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$87.87
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$126.83
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Auckland FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.59
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$264.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.58
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,713Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$882.62
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$237.22
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$246.97
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.73
Clippers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$79.68
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+82.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$83.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.