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South American Leagues · resolved market

SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under44c81,638$35,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,920.7429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under0c32,146$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3316255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under0c14,962$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.274761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c13,470$7,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.093,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over56c12,970$7,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.695050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under0c9,332$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.318964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over56c7,674$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.5242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.984339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over56c6,443$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.987244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over56c6,433$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.391080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over56c5,609$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over56c5,602$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.7417049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over56c3,999$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Over56c3,995$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c3,411$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.058,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under1c2,579$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under31c2,232$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.975935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over56c2,231$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over70c2,059$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.466866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Over56c1,967$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Under32c1,796$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.542634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c1,485$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.95,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over56c1,372$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under1c1,356$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.769361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over53c1,086$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.919727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c1,051$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under35c914.32$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.016555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over56c869.29$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over68c778.72$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.255156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c692.29$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Over56c613.37$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.882050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under3c517$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2411855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.245651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over56c424.89$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9520953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Over56c408.91$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.921850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over69c374.48$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.856558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over60c373.94$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.182,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over56c360.23$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.51952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over70c338.36$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.513354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Over72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over56c254.6$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0219056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over56c243.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over60c239.21$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.684669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Over70c211.09$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.796274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x895c…d405backed Over56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over56c185.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5833266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over56c184.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over55c180.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8119659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.518154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.517857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over56c149.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Over54c132.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.778843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over56c130.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.372965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bda…28eabacked Over67c120.29$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over56c117.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.882944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over43c106.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.973243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over56c105.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over56c104.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over60c102.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Over71c101.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.32369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Over56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over35c96.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4683642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c95.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.161,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over68c93.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.263953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under44c89.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.592544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.253461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7a…f46ebacked Over56c86.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Over60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.923669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.92751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over56c71.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under43c69.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0210943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over57c64.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.565832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under66c59.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.181070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c58.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405b…e12bbacked Over66c57.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over63c57.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2577151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under45c57.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over56c54.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.994866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over56c52.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1324253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…7a37backed Over58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over56c44.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.385554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1215654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over56c42.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5212464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c41.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over56c40.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under62c40.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.055162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over70c40.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0940651%207 W · 199 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over55c38.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.515251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110964.2%70 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c36.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4433658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32181%17 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…4b24backed Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Over56c34.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.992095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1225147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c9f…3973backed Over56c32.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over71c30.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.836457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.