Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f22196164a0bdcb2b71ea198a86d8d43912807ae2bdd553133a87bc28bc7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adelaide United FCof Western Sydney Wanderers FC, Adelaide United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 43c | 1,379$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.68 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Adelaide United FC | 64c | 780.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Adelaide United FC | 57c | 720.08$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 27c | 499.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 28c | 475.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 36c | 350.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 28c | 285.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Adelaide United FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Adelaide United FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Adelaide United FC | 72c | 133.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 25c | 101.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Adelaide United FC | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Adelaide United FC | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Adelaide United FC | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 28c | 71.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Adelaide United FC | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Adelaide United FC | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 27c | 64.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Adelaide United FC | 77c | 54.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Adelaide United FC | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 29c | 48.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 31c | 47.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Adelaide United FC | 71c | 40.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Adelaide United FC | 71c | 32.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.