TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,542 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfabc…2134backed Over65c4,286$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.4414060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72bb…a44cbacked Over65c3,500$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over63c2,499$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.432661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under67c2,243$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.763452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-16.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeddb…e7cebacked Over44c2,231$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over29c1,745$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.161662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c1,567$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.3730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under47c1,504$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over40c1,378$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.093234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c1,362$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e00…1e95backed Over40c1,334$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,021$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.4398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c941.96$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6634937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2830…0584backed Under73c679.99$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under54c640$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under71c633.8$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c617.71$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over72c617.2$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c617.2$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0622652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c569.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.185925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over56c506.52$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.161947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c484.2$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over79c437.19$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.811060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2927365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.377833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over27c364.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.7710839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over28c357.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.328327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over27c357$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.618625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under37c339.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.82669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over38c339.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.472560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under39c314.9$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under11c313.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Under74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under29c266$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.922540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under32c230$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c227.54$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3219849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c198$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.134843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Over64c171.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under38c166$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8512156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under37c161$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.562650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over26c159.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.351225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fe…c258backed Under24c157.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over64c152.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.074818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Over65c144.48$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Under40c143.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Under67c133.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over25c124.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4213243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under74c123.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.842751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under72c117.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4332453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under55c111$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over36c108.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.227254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Over26c102.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under71c95.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.032060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over26c92.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.458853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over26c92.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.158353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under38c83.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under74c80.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.924454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked Under50c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…c70bbacked Over77c78.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under53c71.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-77.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c65.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.335129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under72c61.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1514755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c59.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0810633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over26c56.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+154.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under21c52.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.976823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over36c52.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.384835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Over28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c46.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0116865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Over26c44.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+194.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over37c35.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under66c34.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Over64c33.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Over63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under38c29.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over80c29.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.851291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+74.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Over77c25.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x604f…999cbacked Over49c20.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd2…e809backed Under72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over71c16.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.