Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b18306a6a6a0f435293dbd8b065c0cb8a1c7f5abf7588fe8ba0e210069ffbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 37,479$20,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,415.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 11,101$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.35 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 45c | 7,701$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 47c | 6,288$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…a44cbacked Over | 66c | 2,706$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 54c | 2,400$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 2,284$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.21 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,228$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.68 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 24c | 2,140$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 48c | 2,095$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…e7cebacked Over | 67c | 1,567$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 65c | 1,405$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 998.63$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.25 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 946.26$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.87 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 874.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.74 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 65c | 766.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.85 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 691.4$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 685.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.58 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 557.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 537$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 12c | 470.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 7c | 451.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 45c | 392.65$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 55c | 360.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 334.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 65c | 332.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 15c | 331.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 313.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 21c | 313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 23c | 273$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Under | 13c | 233.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 54c | 212.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 44c | 190.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 12c | 184.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 45c | 175$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 14c | 170$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 54c | 161.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 44c | 160.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 159.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 145.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 16c | 128.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 55c | 108.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 105.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 99.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Under | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 55c | 84.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Over | 68c | 81.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Over | 45c | 64.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 46c | 62.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 58.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9624…0b05backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 51.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 48c | 49.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 53c | 40.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.