Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161365a54281fa87f4775eb10dad7d22b461e61186eed91ec1647ac37e01ae02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,463 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,196$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,004$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 788.79$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 79c | 597.49$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 562.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed No | 33c | 506$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Yes | 67c | 506$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 497.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 68c | 438.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 23c | 370.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 22c | 327.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 327.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 323.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 308.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 262.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 69c | 260.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 34c | 231.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…fd08backed No | 33c | 179.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 153.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 68c | 148.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 31c | 147.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 68c | 99.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 69c | 91.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 81.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed No | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…3f75backed Yes | 68c | 62.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Yes | 66c | 59.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 55.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 68c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 66c | 51.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed No | 34c | 47.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 68c | 42.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 32c | 38.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Yes | 68c | 36.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc01…f1dfbacked No | 34c | 36.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…662ebacked Yes | 68c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.