TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe05c…64bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.04
Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.92
Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.09
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$96.96
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.28
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
Will Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$6.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$101.42
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$47.66
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$22.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.26
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+171%+$37.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$7.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.