TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Arsenal FC, Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,519 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Arsenal FC31c108,128$33,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,519.6810057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c73,054$50,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,646.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c54,090$37,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,767.9619253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c33,498$23,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,390.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arsenal FC31c22,939$7,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,189.6112949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c20,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.982259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC31c19,692$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,139.666,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Arsenal FC31c15,970$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Arsenal FC31c13,853$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.972,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c12,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.9813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Arsenal FC31c8,541$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.751,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Arsenal FC30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Arsenal FC31c3,157$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.6712454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Arsenal FC31c1,773$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8711430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Arsenal FC33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.514240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.031764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c973$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Arsenal FC47c880.68$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.542373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c850.82$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c556.08$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Arsenal FC33c415$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1228242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Arsenal FC31c380.65$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c357.35$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.357853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Arsenal FC31c349.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Arsenal FC34c349.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Arsenal FC31c328.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9523250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7864…800bbacked Arsenal FC31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC53c307.7$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.624,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Arsenal FC32c303.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.813152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c8…9349backed Arsenal FC31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC66c299.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Arsenal FC32c275$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.14379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC67c270.68$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.372,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC70c221.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9420758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Arsenal FC33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704325.6%11 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c207.58$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Arsenal FC33c184.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC53c172.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c161$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.917440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Arsenal FC31c157.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec46…072dbacked Arsenal FC33c152.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Arsenal FC33c152.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Arsenal FC33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Arsenal FC32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.513727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC31c143.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fff…16cbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arsenal FC31c130.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC67c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.320763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC70c119.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.246144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Arsenal FC46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.68257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05c…64bdbacked Arsenal FC33c109.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC53c104.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Arsenal FC31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Arsenal FC29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Arsenal FC32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC66c98.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.132352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC46c87.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7903…df88backed Arsenal FC35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c84.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0933753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb208…90f7backed Arsenal FC31c83.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Arsenal FC32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d7e…ec67backed Arsenal FC33c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Arsenal FC29c68.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC59c68.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1119455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.184254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Arsenal FC32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed Arsenal FC33c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Arsenal FC31c58.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Arsenal FC31c57.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC70c52.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8616558.8%97 W · 68 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arsenal FC35c51.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8251516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Arsenal FC32c50.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.940821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC70c50.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0315353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked Arsenal FC33c49.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Arsenal FC31c47.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6613360.9%81 W · 52 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf877…77e1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c45.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c44.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Arsenal FC31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c43.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Arsenal FC35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x047c…44c4backed Arsenal FC31c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Arsenal FC31c41.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Arsenal FC32c40.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.935563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC69c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.783540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC54c37.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2611450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Arsenal FC31c37.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6342658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7c83backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c35.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce10…3976backed Arsenal FC33c35.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Arsenal FC33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f87…fb71backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c32.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.431163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Arsenal FC34c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b8…8222backed Arsenal FC32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4a…3f75backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.