TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,419 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c16,798$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,842.876,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under24c8,797$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,677.442,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6e…f0aabacked Over73c7,012$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,118.76475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over76c5,100$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8761675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over76c3,948$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.483360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over76c2,633$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.8215060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under24c2,604$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.9985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over76c1,980$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.813565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under24c1,168$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.6851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over76c921.05$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e3…4844backed Under12c750$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under25c707.43$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.3211430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8280…e451backed Over76c592.11$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c545.72$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38517161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over26c523.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7216238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c520.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.942,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over76c514.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over75c511.42$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.572832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751080%8 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c499.61$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.484,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over75c450$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.56666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over67c402.54$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.396168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Over76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under24c399.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb1…e437backed Over76c393.42$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Over63c389.43$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over80c369.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.758867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c339.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11715740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over26c295.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.464231%13 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over66c287.59$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6225256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over71c281.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c236.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.912,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522828.6%8 W · 20 L-9.1wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-54.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under25c187.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9412236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over51c185$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over75c182$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.55056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over58c171.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.519446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Over75c146.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over76c144.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a9c…c9c4backed Over75c137.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under25c137.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f3…d3fdbacked Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c130.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under53c112.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under57c111.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.417244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over75c110$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.63444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over52c106.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6219455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over35c97.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Over43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over47c80.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.839339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under25c78.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over60c78.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over74c77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x857f…96ecbacked Under26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over73c76.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8c…8293backed Under74c67.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over74c66.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2520763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635f…6be6backed Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over24c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under26c59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.664131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Over76c55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c49.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Under26c49.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5f…9417backed Under46c43.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3054128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked Under37c37.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.672050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Over75c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f9…e294backed Over76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253850%19 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under32c32.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2442658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed Over75c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242673.1%19 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.253565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over76c26.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9125348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Over76c25.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over79c25.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2113152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105034%17 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510964.2%70 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.