Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532be297c99773e9131ffac751112f2a60072741493c1ed21f58d34cdedc58de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 30c | 4,513$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.43 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 72c | 2,650$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.96 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 2,390$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 73c | 1,934$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.23 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 27c | 1,248$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.95 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 75c | 1,201$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 71c | 607.6$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 591.49$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…f214backed Over | 28c | 498.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 497.13$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 310.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 29c | 219.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 218.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 186.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…fa03backed Under | 73c | 182.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…5597backed Under | 73c | 168.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 168$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 72c | 159.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 28c | 154.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 29c | 149.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d77ebacked Under | 73c | 148.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Under | 73c | 145.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 22c | 134.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…8a36backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 29c | 99.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 42c | 88.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 71c | 82.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 79c | 80.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 29c | 65.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 28c | 56.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 42c | 44.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 40c | 43.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…9aafbacked Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Under | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Under | 73c | 35.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 56c | 26.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…88c4backed Under | 72c | 26.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.